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Global Perspective of Biotech/GM Crops and Future Prospects

Global Perspective of Biotech/GM Crops and Future Prospects 2010 - 15 th Anniversary of Commercialization. by Dr. Clive James, Founder and Chair, ISAAA Spain, June 2011 International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA) http://www.isaaa.org.

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Global Perspective of Biotech/GM Crops and Future Prospects

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  1. Global Perspective of Biotech/GM Crops and Future Prospects 2010 - 15th Anniversary of Commercialization by Dr. Clive James, Founder and Chair, ISAAA Spain, June 2011 International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA) http://www.isaaa.org

  2. Overview of Presentation • Few introductory/contextual slides • ADOPTION, first 15 years, 1996 - 2010 • IMPACT of Biotech crops • FUTURE – 2011 – 2015 (MDG) • Source: Clive James, 2011

  3. ISAAA – www.isaaa.org • A Not-for-Profit Charity, co-sponsored by public and private sector organizations • ISAAA is a Pro-Choice Organization • Share knowledge freely on crop biotechnologywhilst respecting the rights of others to make their own decisions; ensure that the global community is well informedabout the attributes and potential of the new technologies • MISSION - Contribute to poverty alleviation by increasing crop productivity and income generation, particularly for small resource-poor farmers and to ensure a safer and moresustainable environment Source: Clive James, 2011

  4. The Challenge - Double Crop Production by 2050 – A Strategy • NO SINGLE APPROACHwill suffice to feed 9 billion peoplein 2050 • Conventional crop improvement ALONE will not double crop production by 2050 – GM/BIOTECH CROPS NOT A PANACEA but essential • Successful strategy must have MULTIPLE APPROACHES that address all the principal issues that include: • Population stabilization • Improved food distribution systems • A Technology Component is ESSENTIAL– A crop improvementSTRATEGY THAT INTEGRATES the BEST of the OLD (CONVENTIONAL) and the BEST of the NEW (BIOTECH) to optimize productivity andCONTRIBUTEto food, feed and fiber security Source: Clive James, 2011

  5. Global Society’s Questions re. Biotech Crops • Can biotech crops produce more affordable food, feed and fiber, and are they safe? • Can biotech crops contribute to sustainability? • Can biotech crops help with climate change by decreasing CO2 emissions? • Can biotech crops contribute to foodsecurity and to the alleviation of poverty and hunger? Source: Clive James, 2011

  6. ADOPTION • OF • BIOTECH CROPS • 1996 - 2010

  7. Accumulated Global Area of Biotech Crops,1996/10 Biotech Crops Surge Over 1 Billion Hectares in 2010 M Acres 2965 1200 1 Billion Hectares = USA land area 1000 2471 1976 800 600 1482 500 Million Hectares 10 years 5 years 400 988 494 200 0 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Clive James, 2011

  8. Colombia* Chile* Honduras* Portugal Czech Republic Poland Egypt* Slovakia Costa Rica* Romania Sweden Germany Global Area (Million Hectares) of Biotech Crops, 2010: by Country Biotech Mega Countries 50,000 hectares , or more Million Hectares USA Brazil* Argentina* India* Canada China* Paraguay* Pakistan* South Africa* Uruguay* Bolivia* Australia Philippines* Myanmar* Burkina Faso* Spain Mexico* 66.8 25.4 22.9 9.4 8.8 3.5 2.6 2.4 2.2 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 29 countries which have adopted biotech crops In 2010, global area of biotech crops was 148 million hectares, representing an increase of 10% over 2009, equivalent to 14 million hectares. Increase over 2009 Less than 50,000 hectares 10% Source: Clive James, 2010. * Developing countries

  9. SUMMARY– 2010 HIGHLIGHTS • 1 billionth hectare planted in 2010 – same area as USA • Increase from 25 to 29 countries; 3 new: Pakistan, Myanmar and Sweden, and Germany resumed planting • Strong 10% growth = 14 m. has.– 2nd largest gain ever. • 87-fold increase from 1996 to 2010 – fastest adopted crop technology • Top 10 countries each >1 m. has., 8 are developing • 15.4 mill. biotech farmers, up 1.4 mill. – 90% or 14.4 million were small and resource-poor farmers • Stacked traits–11 countries, 32 million hectares (22%) Source: Clive James, 2011

  10. IMPACT OF BIOTECH CROPS

  11. GLOBAL IMPACT of BIOTECH CROPS Source: Brookes and Barfoot forthcoming, and Clive James, 2011 • IMPROVED PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME – Farm income gains of $65 billion from 1996 to 2009, of which 44% was due to cost reduction and 56% due to a production gain of 229 million tons; benefits conservative due spill-over from biotech to conventional. • PROTECT BIODIVERSITY– Double crop production on same area of 1.5 billion hectares of crop land –save forests/biodiversity – 13 m. has. loss/year in dev countries – 229 mill tons would have required an additional 75 mill hectares – a land saving technology • ENVIRONMENT & SUSTAINABILITY • - Saving of 393 mill. kg pesticidesfrom 1996/2009 - 9% saved • - Saved 18 bill. kg C02in 2009 -contribution to climate change • - Conservation of soil & WATER thru biotech + no/low till • SOCIAL BENEFITS • - Contribution to poverty alleviation of 14.4 million small resource-poor farmers in 2010 & welfare benefits emerging

  12. THE FUTURE 2011 - 2015, THE REMANING FIVE YEARS OF THE SECOND DECADE OF COMMERCIALIZATION 2015, The Millennium Development Goals Year

  13. The Future – 2011-15 • Three Requirements for Success • POLITICAL WILL • ACCESS TO NEW & IMPROVED BIOTECH CROPS • APPROPRIATE AND EFFICIENT REGULATION IN DEV. COUNTRIES Source: Clive James, 2011

  14. The Future – 2011-2015 STRONG POLITICAL WILL AND SUPPORT • President Hu Jintao, China, “China will fully develop advanced breeding techniques to … ensure sustainable development and competitiveness of the nation’s agricultural sector” (2010). • President Blaise Compaore, Burkina Faso “In a continent that is hungry, biotechnology, provides one of the best ways to substantially increase agricultural productivity, and thus ensure food security to the people” (2010). • UK Chief Scientist, Sir John Beddington counsels that whereas GM is not a silver bullet, they are key to food security - this is consistent with findings of UK Govt. Foresight Report “The Future of Food and Farming” and French Agrimonde Report. Mr. George Lyon (MEP), said “GM crops were an essential technology..and that the impasse in Europe must be broken if we are not to fall further behind” (2010). • Comprehensive 2010 global study by the EU Commission confirmed safety and benefits of biotech crops currently commercialized (2010). • Source: Compiled by Clive James 2011

  15. The Future –2011-2015. A WAVE OF NEW & IMPROVED BIOTECH CROPS • New crop/trait options will be ready before 2015 • Drought tolerance – principal trait–maize in US 2012 • Biotech rice –majorcrop, up to 1 billion beneficiaries • Quality traits–Golden Rice in 2013, omega-3, others • More biotech crops dev by public inst in Southern countries - opportunity for public private partnerships • Biotech applications for “Speeding the breeding”–MAS and biotech crops, to provide a faster response to more severe and rapid changes in climate change • Asia will grow more in 2nd decade than first decade Source: Clive James, 2011

  16. Implementation of APPR0PRIATE REGULATION will spur adoption of biotech crops in AFRICA Source:Compiled by Clive James, 2011 EGYPT EGYPT UGANDA MALI BURKINA FASO KENYA BURKINA FASO TANZANIA TOGO MALAWI NIGERIA SOUTH AFRICA SOUTH AFRICA 2015 (up to 10 countries) South Africa, Burkina Faso, Egypt, Mali, Togo, Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and Malawi 2010 (3 countries) South Africa, Burkina Faso and Egypt

  17. ISAAA Prediction for 2nd Decade, 2006-2015 Source: Clive James, 2011

  18. Biotech crops, are a product of INNOVATION“the ability to manage change as anopportunity, not as a threat”

  19. Knowledge Sharing with Global Society Impact of ISAAA Annual Global Status Review Brief 42 (as of April 30, 2011) ISAAA Briefs No. 42-2010 “Global Status of Commercialized Biotech/GM Crops: 2010” Source: Clive James (2010)

  20. Brief 39, 41, 42 Impressions Figures taken two months after each launch 1,398,930,509 1.4 Billion 1.2 Billion 877,713,183 1.0 Billion 800 Million Number of media impressions 600 Million 208,462,687 400 Million 200 Million 0 Brief 39 - 2008 Brief 41 - 2009 Brief 42 - 2010 Annual Review Year

  21. ISAAA Crop Biotech Update Recipients As of April 2011 with 2013 Projection • Includes recipients of Crop Biotech Update translations in Arabic, Bahasa Indonesia, Bangla, Chinese, French, Italian, Japanese, Portuguese, Spanish, Thai and Vietnamese • Does not include subscribers to other list serves that pick up articles from the Crop Biotech Update; estimated at 30,000 • Projected number of subscribers

  22. ISAAA’s Global Knowledge Center (KC) on Crop Biotech & Network of Biotechnology Information Centers (BICs) Russia Italy USA Spain Bulgaria Korea China Japan Egypt Pakistan Bangladesh Mexico Mali Vietnam India Honduras Sri Lanka Thailand Philippines ISAAA’s Global KC Costa Rica Burkina Faso Malaysia Kenya Peru Brazil Indonesia South Africa 26 Current nodes Future node Knowledge and Experience Sharing Source: Clive James (2011)

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