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The ACA's Impact on Insurance Expansion and Care Value: A Critical Analysis

kalei avatar
10 diapositives · 249 Views · Jul 18, 2014

This document explores the implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) with a focus on its dual objectives: providing coverage to nearly 50 million uninsured individuals and enhancing healthcare value amid rising costs. Key topics include the relationship between spending growth and care quality, the implications of expanding coverage, and the challenges associated with Medicaid enrollment. It also addresses public and private budgeting effects, the need for value-based insurance design, and the potential of coordinated care models to improve outcomes.

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  1. Katherine Baicker Professor of Health Economics, Harvard School of Public Health Implementation of the ACA: Insurance Expansions and the Value of Care

  2. Not for Citation or Distribution Two Goals of Health Reform • Covering the almost 50 million uninsured • Problem exacerbated by economy and rising costs • Goal of improving access and outcomes • Bringing spending growth under control • Private budgets: employees bear cost of HI • Public budgets: key driver of fiscal outlook; tax burden • Recent slowdown gives some hope, but causes unclear

  3. Not for Citation or Distribution High Spending ↔ High Value? • Stemming spending growth focus of reform debate, but right metric? • Reasons we might want to spend more & reasons for concern • Consequence of low-value spending • Productive and allocative inefficiency • Strained public budgets, tax pressures • Underlying problem: disconnect between costs and benefits • Ample evidence that we could be getting higher value

  4. Higher Spending Does Not Necessarily Lead to Higher Quality

  5. Not for Citation or Distribution Implications for Reform • How does expanding coverage affect spending and value? • Expanding coverage: Incentives and subsidies • Mandate; Medicaid expansion; Exchange subsidies; Employer requirements; Insurance market reforms • Costs and benefits of insurance expansions? • Uninsured report worse access and outcomes • But causal effects hard to nail down – magnitudes and even signs uncertain • Better evidence from randomized controlled evaluation

  6. Utilization • Increased use of many types of care • Outpatient and Rx • Hospital • Emergency department • Implied 25-35% ↑ spending for Medicaid enrollees

  7. Financial Strain • Reduction in collections, financial strain • No change in employment, earnings

  8. Health • Large improvements in self-reported health • Clinical assessments: more mixed • Depression↓(diagnosis↑) • No detectable effect on BP, HbA1c, cholesterol

  9. Not for Citation or Distribution Implications for Reform • Expanding existing plans likely to generate mix of value • Aligning patient cost-sharing with value • For insurance • Private side: Reform tax code, regulations • Public side: Improve benefit design • For care • Cost-sharing tied to value of care; wellness (inherently paternalistic) • Private side: Value-based insurance design • Public side: Rationalize cost-sharing across silos; limit gap coverage

  10. Not for Citation or Distribution Implications for Reform • Potential for ACA • Public side • Integrated plans like ACOs could facilitate patient choice and competition • Innovative coordinated care could improve value • Private side • Exchanges could promote competition based on value • Enrollment challenges threaten future risk-pooling and premium stability • Will have to wrestle with tough choices • Reform doesn’t pay for itself • Tough choices about whom and what services to cover/subsidize