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Satellite Analysis Branch 2009 Year in Review

Satellite Analysis Branch 2009 Year in Review. Anthony Salemi with Michael Turk NOAA Hurricane Conference December 1, 2009. Milestones. Summer 2009 SAB Dvorak and MW fixes placed directly into ATCF Phone coordination w/ TAFB discontinued G. Serafino accepts position outside OSDPD;

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Satellite Analysis Branch 2009 Year in Review

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  1. Satellite Analysis Branch 2009 Year in Review Anthony Salemi with Michael Turk NOAA Hurricane Conference December 1, 2009

  2. Milestones Summer 2009 • SAB Dvorak and MW fixes placed directly into ATCF • Phone coordination w/ TAFB discontinued • G. Serafino accepts position outside OSDPD; -- D. Streett ABC • M. Turk participated in NHC Visiting Scientist Program • eTRaP goes operational Fall 2009 • Effort underway to incorporate SAB Post MW Analysis in ATCF • CIMSS delivers ADT v8.1.1 to NESDIS

  3. GOES Status and Schedule for 2009/2010 • GOES-10 to be decommissioned on 12/1/09 at 12:30 UTC • GOES-13 to replace GOES-12 in April 2010 • Transition plan similar to GOES-8 to -12 transition • GOES-13 imaging while drifting to 75° W • GOES-East switch to GOES-13 when 13 is within 6° of GOES-12 (4/14) • GOES-13 GVAR through GOES-12 until 4/26 • GOES-12 drift to 60° W for South America • GOES-12 South America coverage by June 2010

  4. Why not scan away from contaminated data? GOES-12 and GOES-13 Differences • Improved INR!! • GOES-13 Spectral Response Functions (SRFs) Updated • GOES-13 will operate through Eclipse • Sun light intrusion does have an effect on data/products • Recommendation for shifted scans during Fall 2010 “KOZ” period • OSDPD undergoing testing of shifted scans • 75% of cancelled “KOZ” images recoverable • No changes to Sounder

  5. Milestones: Microwave Fixeshttp://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/2009/midata/archive.html

  6. Sample Microwave Post Analysis History File

  7. Product System Development & Implementation (PSDI) Program • Global Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Product • AMSU-Based Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure Estimation from Aqua and Metop • GOES-Based Multi-Platform Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Product • Operational Implementation of an Ensemble Tropical Rainfall Technique (eTRaP) • Operational Implementation of the CIMSS Advanced Dvorak Technique

  8. Update on CIRA GOES-PSDI Project Extension5.2bFY03Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability (TCFP) Product Collection of developmental datasets needed to expand current product to global domain completed New algorithm developed for global domain Experimental global product running in real-time at CIRA

  9. Update on CIRA POES-PSDI Project( Request FY99-38) FY08AMSU-Based Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure Estimation from Aqua and Metop Project has been delayed by: NCEP IT security NCEP super computer freeze Access to computer at NHC which has access to BUFR libs/data NOAA-19 to be added in addition to Aqua and Metop Software/retrieval codes have been modified and are awaiting implementation

  10. Multiplatform Surface Wind • Currently pre-operational on ESPC SATOPS development system • No recent science changes • Archive agreement submitted to NCDC • Future site - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/mtcswa.html • June 2010: Operational Phase Begins

  11. eTRaP Home page - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html

  12. eTRaP Home page - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html

  13. Location allowance (to nearest 4 km) of eTRaP probability of precipitation fields that resulted in reliable probabilistic forecasts

  14. ADT Entered New Operational Phase: Incorporation of MW Signal

  15. ADT w/ MW 2009 Results: Atlantic ADT w/ & w/o MW Stratified by Intensity Homogeneous Comparison with SAB

  16. Assessment of ADTv7.2.3 w/ MW:2009 West Pacific Typhoon Season (Subset) Only those TCs where MW adjustment occurred were used in this assessment.

  17. Case Study: Typhoon Kujira (01W) In v7.2.3, the eye scene regression equations were altered and v7.2.3 with MW had a CDO adjustment. This resulted in the differences shown above.

  18. What to Expect from ADT v8.1.1 • Includes the "better" set of eye equations • Leaves out the CDO adjustment Net effect should be improvement in hurricane intensities (new eye regressions) and tropical storm intensities (old CDO handling) in addition to improvements from MW adjustment

  19. Questions?

  20. GOES-East Detailed Transition • 1/19 GOES-13 Return to Normal Mode Imager, Sounder, SEM activated SXI remains off • 1/21 Image Navigation Start-up (4 days) • 1/25 Begin GOES-13 execution of GOES East Schedule • 2/9 Perform GOES-13 Annual inclination maneuver • 2/17 Conduct GOES-13 Operations Readiness Review • 2/23 Start GOES-13 Eastward Drift from 105°W to 75°W • 3/8 Near 99°W; Activate GOES-13 SXI/MDL • 4/14 Near 81°W; GOES-13 becomes GOES-East Stop GOES-12 GVAR GOES-13 GVAR relayed through GOES-12 Users do not re-point antenna • 4/26 Stop GOES-13 Drift at 75°W GOES-13 GVAR relayed through GOES-13 Switch ancillary COMM services from GOES-12 to GOES-13

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