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Exploration, Silver & PGM’s

Calgary Mining Conference April 27 th , 2011. Exploration, Silver & PGM’s. Chris Thompson, M.Sc. Ben Asuncion Haywood Securities, Canada. Disclaimers.

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Exploration, Silver & PGM’s

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  1. Calgary Mining ConferenceApril 27th, 2011 Exploration, Silver & PGM’s Chris Thompson, M.Sc. Ben Asuncion Haywood Securities, Canada

  2. Disclaimers This report is neither a solicitation for the purchase of securities nor an offer of securities. Our ratings are intended only for clients of Haywood Securities Inc., Haywood Securities (USA) Inc., and those of Haywood Securities (UK) Limited and such clients are cautioned to consult the respective firm prior to purchasing or selling any security recommended or views contained in this report. Haywood Securities (UK) Limited (“HSUK”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Haywood Securities Inc. authorized and regulated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority as a stock broker and investment adviser and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Estimates and projections contained herein, whether or not our own, are based on assumptions that we believe to be reasonable. The information presented, while obtained from sources we believe reliable, is checked but not guaranteed against errors or omissions. Changes in the rates of exchange between currencies may cause the value of your investment to fluctuate. Past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance. The investments to which this report relates can fluctuate in value and accordingly you are not certain to make a profit on any investment: you could make a loss. Haywood Securities, or certain of its affiliated companies, may from time to time receive a portion of commissions or other fees derived from the trading or financings conducted by other affiliated companies in the covered security. Haywood analysts are salaried employees who may receive a performance bonus that may be derived, in part, from corporate finance income. Haywood Securities, Inc., and Haywood Securities (USA) Inc. and Haywood Securities (UK) Limited do have officers in common however, none of those common officers affect or control the ratings given a specific issuer or which issuer will be the subject of Research coverage. In addition, the firm does maintain and enforce written policies and procedures reasonably designed to prevent influence on the activities of affiliated analysts. Dissemination of Research This report is prepared by Haywood Securities Inc. for use by Haywood Securities Inc., Haywood Securities (USA) Inc. and Haywood Securities (UK) Limited and their clients. Research reports are disseminated either through electronic medium or in printed copy.  Clients may access reports on our website, or receive publications directly via email.  Haywood strives to ensure all clients receive research in a timely manner and at the same time.  It is against our policy for analysts to discuss or circulate their recommendations internally prior to public distribution. This policy applies equally to recommendation changes, target changes and/or forecast revisions. For Canadian residents: Haywood Securities Inc. is a Canadian registered broker-dealer and a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada, the Toronto Stock Exchange, the Toronto Venture Exchange and the Canadian Investor Protection

  3. Fund and accepts responsibility for the dissemination of this report. Any Canadian client that wishes further information on any securities discussed in this report should contact a qualified salesperson of Haywood Securities Inc. For U.S. residents: Haywood Securities (USA) Inc. is a wholly owned subsidiary of Haywood Securities Inc., registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and is a member of FINRA and the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC). Haywood Securities (USA) Inc. as a U.S. registered broker-dealer accepts responsibility for this Research Report and its dissemination in the United States. Any U.S. client that wishes further information on any securities discussed in this report should contact a qualified salesperson of Haywood Securities (USA) Inc. Haywood Securities Inc. Research Analysts are considered Foreign Research Analysts to the USA and are not registered/qualified as Research Analysts with the NYSE and/or the NASD. As these analysts are considered Foreign Research Analysts they may not be specifically subject to NASD Rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with a Subject Company, Public Appearances and trading securities held by a Research Analyst Account. This report is intended for institutional investors and may be distributed to all non-institutional US clients. For U.K. residents: Haywood Securities (UK) Limited (“HSUK”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Haywood Securities Inc. authorized and regulated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority as a stock broker and investment adviser and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. This report has been approved by HSUK for the purposes of section 21 of the UK’s Financial Services and Markets Act 2000.If you wish to contact HSUK please email Michael Sweeney at msweeney@haywood.com. If you are a UK resident retail customer and you propose to do business with Haywood Securities Inc., please take note of the following: Haywood Securities Inc. or its subsidiaries or respective officers, directors or employees have or may have a material interest in the securities to which this report relates. Any investment services undertaken on your behalf by Haywood Securities Inc are not covered by the rules and regulations made for the protection of retail investors in the UK. This means that you will not have the benefit of rights designed to protect investors under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and under the rules of the Financial Services Authority (“FSA”).In particular, you will not benefit from the following UK protections: (a) the right to claim through the UK’s Financial Services Compensation Scheme for losses resulting in the unlikely event of our default; (b) in the event of a dispute, access to the UK’s Financial Ombudsman Service; (c) protection of money held on your behalf under the FSA’s Client Money Rules. I, Chris Thompson, hereby certify that the views expressed in this report (which includes the rating assigned to the issuer’s shares as well as the analytical substance and tone of the report) accurately reflect my/our personal views about the subject securities and the issuer. No part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations. Analyst Certification

  4. Synopsis • Junior Exploration • Silver • Fundamentals • Equities • Bear Creek Mining (BCM-V) & Mirasol Resources (MRZ-V) • Platinum Group Metals • Fundamentals • Equities • North American Palladium (PDL-T)

  5. Junior Exploration Haywood’s Metals & Mining Analysts Stefan Ioannou (sioannou@haywood.com) Geordie Mark (gmark@haywood.com) Joe Mazumdar (jmazumdar@haywood.com) Kerry Smith (ksmith@haywood.com) Chris Thompson (cthompson@haywood.com)

  6. Junior Exploration Reports

  7. What do we look for: • Management: Market Credibility &Technical Expertise • A Plan that Makes Sense: Corporate & Technical • The Financial Ability to Execute • Clear Timelines and Achievable Goals

  8. Q2/11 Exploration Companies

  9. Silver Chris Thompson, M.Sc. (Eng), P.Geo cthompson@haywood.com (604) 697-7433

  10. Silver Fundamentals – Supply & Demand

  11. Silver Fundamentals - Trends Silver Price: April 21: US$46.63 or 32:1 Au : Ag

  12. Silver Fundamentals – ETF Holdings April 2011: 987 M oz or 61% of annual supply

  13. Silver Producers – CFPS Multiples A Broad Range : P / CF: 6x to 22x

  14. Silver Equity Performance 90 Day Performance: -30 % to 110%

  15. Silver Equity Leverage

  16. Bear Creek Mining Corp (BCM-V) • Valuation: $14.00 TP / SECTOR OUTPERFORM • Market Cap: $844M / Cash: $131M

  17. Bear Creek Mining Corp (BCM-V) Highlights: • Santa Ana: Low Capex + Compelling Economics – US$70 M initial Capex and LOM average US$9.86 / oz cash cost over 10.5 years. Haywood forecasts 1.6 M oz 2012 production at US$10.47 / oz cash cost increasing to 4.3 M oz 2013 production at US$10.49 / oz cash cost. • Corani: A Company Builder – Increased throughput (22,500 tpd from 15,000 tpd) = potential + 11.4 M average LOM silver production ounces a year. Haywood currently models 15,000 tpd generating 7.7 M LOM oz/ year. BFS (Q3/11) anticipated. • Silver Price Sensitivity – US$45 / oz Ag = Intrinsic Target of $35.30/ share – Aligning our silver price deck with current US$45/oz (leaving all other assumptions unchanged) delivers at intrinsic target of $35.30 / share. • An Estimated US$131 M in the Treasury Covers Funding for Santa Ana – US$132M in the treasury funds US$70 M in initial capital costs at Santa Ana (US$35 M in 2011 and 2012). Recently announced prepayment of US$23 M consolidates property ownership of Corani at 100%.

  18. Bear Creek Mining Corp (BCM-V)

  19. Mirasol Resources Ltd (MRZ-V) • Valuation: $8.75 TP / SECTOR OUTPERFORM • Market Cap: $232M / Cash: $13M

  20. Mirasol Resources Ltd (MRZ-V) Highlights: • Joaquin (39% ownership) – On the Pathway to Development: With silver miner Coeur d’Alene Mines (NYSE:CDE) as project operator and majority owner (61%), the Joaquin silver-gold property provides Mirasol with a rapidly evolving advanced exploration opportunity. Haywood estimates 23.5 million silver equivalent ounces attributable to Mirasol, or $82 million of value. Haywood anticipates an exploration budget of $3 million for calendar 2011, funded by Coeur d’Alene Mines delivering +70 million ounce potential at Joaquin. • Virginia (100% ownership) – The Near-Term Multimillion-Ounce Value Driver: With over 9 kilometres of multiple silver-bearing veins (confirmed by rock chip and sampling programs) manifesting themselves as outcrop and/or float, the prospectivity of the Virginia–Santa Rita project for high-grade silver is clear. Haywood estimates 41 million ounces or $142 million of value for the Julia Vein plus 11 million ounce potential from other veins. Haywood anticipates an exploration budget of $1.5 million for calendar 2011. • Santa Cruz Province, Argentina + Northern Andes, Chile = An Impressive Land Position: An impressive portfolio including twenty 100%-owned gold and silver projects in Santa Cruz Province, Argentina, provides Mirasol with a pipeline of exploration projects. Area diversification is offered by its strategy of hunting for gold-silver deposits in Argentina and porphyry copper deposits in Chile. Haywood allocates $50 million of value for Mirasol’s property portfolio (outside Joaquin and Virginia–Santa Rita). Haywood anticipates an exploration budget of $2 million for the calendar year 2011. • Mirasol = A Winning Team: This internationally recognized management team has an exceptional track record of mineral discovery in South America. • $13 Million in the Treasury: Mirasol’s estimated exploration expenditures of $3.5 million at Virginia and other properties, $3 million at Joaquin (wholly financed by Coeur d’Alene Mines), in addition to $0.7 million in forecasted corporate expenditures for the year are supported by a strong $14 million treasury.

  21. Mirasol Resources Ltd (MRZ-V)

  22. PGMs Chris Thompson, M.Sc. (Eng), P.Geo cthompson@haywood.com (604) 697-7433

  23. PGM Fundamentals – Supply & Demand Palladium Supply: 84% = South Africa & Russia Palladium Demand: 60% = Autos Platinum Supply: 78% = South Africa Platinum Demand: +48% = Autos

  24. PGM Fundamentals - Trends Palladium Price: April 21: US$759 or 2.4:1 Pt : Pd

  25. PGM Fundamentals – Supply & Demand Pt & Pd: Shrinking Supply / Demand Surplus - Deficit

  26. PGM Fundamentals – ETF Holdings April 2011 - Pd: 1.19 M oz or 28% of annual supply April 2011 - Pt: 1.38 M oz or 19% of annual supply

  27. PGM Producers – CFPS Multiples A Broad Range : P / CF: 2x to 17x

  28. PGM Equity Performance 90 Day Performance: -90 % to 20%

  29. North American Palladium (PDL-T) • Valuation: $8.35 TP / SECTOR OUTPERFORM • Market Cap: $965M / Cash: $117M

  30. North American Palladium (PDL-T) Highlights: • Over 3x Pd production growth by 2015 – PDL’s aggressive development plan for the Offset Zone is 309 Koz of Pd production in 2015 at a US$125/oz Pd cash cost net of credits, compared with 95 Koz at US$283/oz for 2010. • Growing gold division – Growth comes from redevelopment of the Sleeping Giant mine and the estimated production from Vezza in 2012. Production growth and operating costs from 18 Koz in 2010 at a cash cost of US$1,549/oz to 65 Koz in 2012 at a cash cost of US$739/oz. Further growth (not modelled) offers additional growth potential from satellite deposits (Flordin and Discovery) feeding the Sleeping Giant mill. • Significant growth in cash flow anticipated – Cash flow of $0.31 estimated for 2011 growing to $0.76 in 2012, $0.84 in 2013, $0.95 in 2014 and $1.02 in 2015. • Robust Pd prices + higher grades + low operating costs = further upside – Fundamentals for PGM remain firm, supported by growth in demand, investor interest, and uncertainty about supply from the Republic of South Africa and depletion of Russian stockpiles.

  31. North American Palladium (PDL-T)

  32. Industry Reports

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