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Population and Courts: Projections of the Future Workload of the New South Wales Magistracy

Population and Courts: Projections of the Future Workload of the New South Wales Magistracy. Presentation to APA Sydney Seminar 11 September 2013 A/ Prof. Nick Parr, Demographer, Macquarie University Based on work with Prof. Brian Opeskin , Macquarie Univeristy

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Population and Courts: Projections of the Future Workload of the New South Wales Magistracy

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  1. Population and Courts: Projections of the Future Workload of the New South Wales Magistracy Presentation to APA Sydney Seminar 11 September 2013 A/Prof. Nick Parr, Demographer, Macquarie University Based on work with Prof. Brian Opeskin, Macquarie Univeristy Funding Source: New South Wales Department of Attorney General and Justice

  2. Background on the Local Court • NSW Local Court is largest court in Australia. • 144 magistrates dealt with 342,378 matters in 2012. • Criminal matters dominate its workload. • Court presides at 150 different locations. • Need to plan for the workload implications of future population growth, compositional change, and distribution.

  3. Criminal Conviction Rates: NSW 2010

  4. Criminal Conviction Rates by Type of Offence: NSW 2010

  5. Criminal Conviction Rates: SSD in Sydney SD 2010

  6. Criminal Conviction Rates: SDs in Balance of NSW 2010

  7. Method • Application of latest available criminal conviction rates by age, sex and region to NSW Department of Planning population projections.

  8. Projected Growth of NSW Population 2006-2036

  9. Projected Age-Sex Distribution: NSW 2011 and 2036 2011 2036

  10. Projected Criminal Convictions

  11. Projected Conviction Rates per 10,000 Population

  12. Summary of Main Results • If Court jurisdiction and magistrate productivity were to remain constant, the results of the DOP projection realised, and age-specific conviction rates remain constant: • NSW will need 8 more FTE magistrates by 2021 and 22 more by 2036; • All projected additional need will be in Sydney; • Fastest growth in need in Sydney’s outer west ; • Small increases in need on NSW coast; • Decreases in need inland.

  13. Projected Additional Magistrates Needed by SSD in Sydney SD

  14. Projected Additional Magistrates Needed by SSD in Balance of NSW

  15. Conclusion • The NSW Local Court needs to plan for a significant expansion to its magistrate workforce and for an adjustment to the spatial location of its activities, in particular expanding the services it offers in outer western Sydney.

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