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Phase II-Adaptive Management Drought Management Plan Technical Paper

Phase II-Adaptive Management Drought Management Plan Technical Paper. Study Oversight Committee March 19, 2009. Scope Question. How can we develop a consolidated drought management plan and improve our preparedness as a region for potential future droughts?.

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Phase II-Adaptive Management Drought Management Plan Technical Paper

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  1. Phase II-Adaptive Management Drought Management Plan Technical Paper Study Oversight Committee March 19, 2009

  2. Scope Question How can we develop a consolidated drought management plan and improve our preparedness as a region for potential future droughts?

  3. Team LeadersKaren LaMartinaKathleen Chavez Fernando Molina-COT Greg Hitt-PC Ilene Grossman-COT Leslie Liberti-COT Linda Smith-COT Melaney Seacat-PC Mitch Basefsky-COT Nicole Ewing-Gavin-COT Nicole Fyffe-PC Patti Woodcock-PC Ries Lindley-COT Tom Arnold-COT

  4. Development of Paper • Kick off Meeting January 15, 2009 • Review Draft Outline/Brainstorm Issues January 29 • Write Draft February • Review and Refine Recommendations March 5, 2009

  5. Overview • National and Regional Perspective • State Drought Planning Efforts and Relationship to City and County Plans • Drought Management Plans of the City and County • Analysis of the Plans • Opportunities for Increased Consistency and Improved Drought Preparedness • Recommendations

  6. What is Drought? • Normal Weather Condition • Higher Temperatures, Lower Precipitation • No Clear Start or End • Social and Financial Impacts to: • Agriculture • Wildlife • Ranching and Livestock • Recreation • Water Supply

  7. National and Regional Perspective • Nation • Georgia, Texas, South Carolina • US Drought Monitor • Southwest • Colorado River Basin • Reservoir Capacity in Lake Mead and Lake Powell • Regional Impacts • California: Emergency Drought Declaration • Nevada: Threat to Water Supply

  8. State Drought Planning EffortsRelationship to City and County Plans • Governor’s Drought Task Force (2003) • ADWR Statewide Drought Program • Monitoring Technical Committee • Interagency Coordinating Group • Local Drought Impact Groups (LDIGs) • Arizona Drought Monitor Report • HB2277- Requires Water Providers to Prepare Drought Preparedness Plans (2005) • Governor’s Drought Declaration (Executive Order 2007-10 May, 2007)

  9. Arizona Drought Monitor Report • Short Term Drought Status January 2009 • Indicators • Temperature • Precipitation • Mountain Stream Flow • Weather Outlook • Vegetation Health • Reservoir Status

  10. State Drought Planning Efforts ADWR System Water Plan Guidance Document Statutory Requirements * Contact information; * Response stages for increasing severity of drought impacts; * A plan of action for response to drought impacts: - Inform the public; - Continued education/information on response stages; - Emergency supplies to meet water shortages; - Water demand management measures for each stage; * Regular review and update – minimum 5-year update

  11. State Drought Planning Efforts ADWR System Water Plan Guidance Document * Water systems have a significant amount of flexibility in developing the Drought Preparedness Plan and associated drought stages. The drought stages that each water system developsshould be specific to the system and based on water supply availability.(page 11 – Guidance Document)

  12. City of Tucson Water DepartmentDrought Preparedness and Response Plan • Plan approved by Mayor and Council (November, 2006) • Implementation Ordinance approved as Chapter 27 Article VIII of the Tucson Code (March, 2007) • Regional and Local Indicators for Drought Impacts - Arizona Drought Monitor - Colorado River Basin Drought Status - Local System Indicators • http://www.tucsonaz.gov/water/drought-intro.htm

  13. City of Tucson Water DepartmentDrought Preparedness and Response Plan DROUGHT RESPONSE STAGES • STAGE 1: - Public Information - City Leadership by Example • STAGE 2: - Request potable water users to voluntarily reduce use - Mandatory water audits/irrigation restrictions for multi-family, commercial and industrial customers • STAGE 3: - Restrictions on Non-Essential Uses - Mandatory water use reductions – potable water • STAGE 4: - Enforce Provisions of Emergency Conservation Ordinance

  14. Pima County Drought Response Planand Water Wasting Ordinance • Section 8.70 of the Pima County Code • Approved June 20, 2006 • Amended June 5, 2007 • Based on Drought Monitoring Report • Local Drought Impact Group • ADWR Interagency Coordinating Group

  15. Pima County Drought Response Plan • Stage 1-Warning • Stage 2-Alert • Stage 3-Crisis • Stage 4-Emergency • Water Wasting • No wasteful water uses • Subject to civil penalty • http://www.pima.gov/drought/

  16. Analysis of the Plans • Similarities • Four Stages with Increasingly Stringent Response Measures • Public Education and Awareness, Visible Leadership, Reduction in Non-Essential Uses • Fines and Curtailments in More Severe Stages • Coordination with Water Providers • LDIG Forum for Coordination • Differences in System Characteristics

  17. Opportunities for Increased Consistency and Improved Drought Preparedness • LDIG • Consistent Messages on Regional and Local Impacts • Coordinate Education Efforts • Utilize climate expertise of LDIG members from University and other agencies • Continuation of Drought Planning and Response

  18. Opportunities for Increased Consistency and Improved Drought Preparedness • Adaptive Planning and Multi-Pronged Strategy • Scenario Planning to Ensure Preparedness • Diversification of Water Supplies • Water Demand Management • Infrastructure • Flexibility to Respond to Drought Impacts • Coordinate with City’s Climate Change Committee and other research groups to incorporate climate change into drought response planning

  19. Recommendations • Working Through LDIG: • Develop Consistent Definition of Non-Essential Uses • Develop Consistent Drought Awareness and Response Messages • Coordinate Community Education Efforts • Identify and Resolve Inconsistencies in Drought Related Ordinances

  20. Recommendations(Cont’d) • Employ Adaptive Planning Approach • Explore Current and Future Vulnerabilities under Range of Scenarios with Climate Experts • Scenario Planning to Assess Changing Planning Environment (i.e. extended drought or climate change) • Periodic Review of Drought Response Plans • Integrate Climate Change Impacts Over Time • Evaluate and Consider Social and Financial Impacts • Employ Conservative Approaches and Multi-Prong Preparedness Strategy

  21. ??Questions??

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