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A Sustainable Strategy for Developing Hamilton as a Gateway

A Sustainable Strategy for Developing Hamilton as a Gateway. Presented to the Hamilton Chamber of Commerce Dr. Pavlos Kanaroglou McMaster University April 27, 2009. Brief Overview of MITL and Gateway Investigation.

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A Sustainable Strategy for Developing Hamilton as a Gateway

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  1. A Sustainable Strategy for Developing Hamilton as a Gateway Presented to the Hamilton Chamber of Commerce Dr. Pavlos Kanaroglou McMaster University April 27, 2009

  2. Brief Overview of MITL and Gateway Investigation • MITL formed in October 2007 at the request of local, public and private stakeholders • Unique forum for the collaboration of industry, government and academia • Gateway Research came about at the request of the MITL advisory board • The Hamilton Gateway project has been carried out by a team of highly-qualified researchers

  3. Outline of Presentation • What is a Gateway? What benefits to expect? • Lessons from other Gateways • Analysis of Gateway Development Impacts • Regional Level Analysis to determine economic impacts • Local Level Analysis to determine environmental, quality of life impacts from this economic growth • Recommendations

  4. Gateway as Economic Enabler • The most typical conception of a gateway • Focus on seamless intermodal movement of goods • Efficient links between important nodes in an urban area • Emphasis on making urban area attractive to firms and a highly developed transportation and logistics sector

  5. Gateway as Key to Holistic Urban Development • We favour this broader interpretation of a gateway • Retains the characteristics of the economic enabler • Additional emphasis on other aspects of sustainability: • Compact urban form and avoidance of sprawl • Strong transit linkages between employment and residential lands

  6. Hamilton’s Considerable Assets • Infrastructure • Comparative advantage in simultaneous access to major four modes • A 24 hour international passenger and cargo airport with nearby land for development • Busy port with existing and prospective intermodal capability • Several existing industrial parks • Solid freeway and rail links • Ample brownfields for redevelopment • People • World class teaching and research institutions • A large and well-educated labour force

  7. Hamilton’s Considerable Assets • Geographic Location • Excellent simultaneous road access to two major border points at Niagara and Windsor • Good access to Toronto (the largest metropolitan economic engine) via rail or road • 24 hour ground access to a significant proportion of the North American population

  8. Key Benefits of Holistic Gateway Development • Economic • Job creation, desirable place to locate a firm • Evolution into transportation and logistics centre • E.g. port and airport • Facilitator of enhanced industrial innovation • Environmental • Cleaner air and associated health benefits • Cleaner modes of transporting goods and people • Social • Less time commuting (less stress), more high paying jobs • A more vital and environmentally healthy city core

  9. Critical Message • The ECONOMIC, ENVIRONMENTAL and SOCIAL benefits are ALL achievable • One set of benefits is not achieved to the exclusion of other benefits • Hamilton should be aiming to “have its cake and eat it too”

  10. Lessons from Other Gateways

  11. Several Gateway Cities Studied Worldwide • Major Seaports • Rotterdam • Dubai • Hong Kong • Inland Ports • Kansas City • Berlin-Brandenburg • Port of Huntsville, Alabama • Columbus, Ohio • Winnipeg • And others

  12. The Best Gateways in the World: • Place a lot of emphasis on being uncongested • Effective at building consensus, partnerships and alliances • public and private • other jurisdictions • Very good at self-promotion and presenting a compelling value proposition • (e.g. favourable tax incentives, free trade zones, intermodality) • Have developed effective transport-focused organizations • Have embraced containerization

  13. Containerization Capability Very Important • Almost 75% of world trade is carried in containers: • Development of Global supply chains consistent with even more containerization in future • Even traditional bulk goods (e.g. coffee) are more and more shipped by container • Key issue for Inland Ports: • Filling the container for the trip back to sea port

  14. Creating a Transport-Focused Gateway Organization • Maximally utilize existing transportation assets and help in developing new ones • Strong promotional and marketing component • Ideally supported by a diverse board of directors to prevent conflicts of interest and prevent/resolve disputes • Develop co-operative relationships with other gateways • Attracting new businesses (especially those with logistics elements) • Current examples are Kansas City SmartPort and Winnipeg CentrePort (the latter is fairly new)

  15. Analysis of Gateway Development Impacts

  16. The Sequence of the Analysis • Job scenarios tested: • Oriented toward transportation, warehousing and associated services • Focused on airport vicinity(~55%), port vicinity (~20%) and other relevant areas (~25%) • New jobs induce local, regional and national multiplier impacts which we trace via an economic impact model • New Dwelling Scenarios are considered • Urban Sprawl versus Compact Development • Effects of LRT are studied jointly with compact development • Local environmental implications of the scenarios are quantified

  17. 15 Canadian Economic Regions Modelled3 of them in Ontario

  18. Components of the Hamilton Economic Region

  19. Job Scenarios are Developed at the CMA Tract level (75% Airport and Port)

  20. Assumed Gateway Employment Growth by Scenario up to 2031 The indirect/induced growth associated with direct gateway employment is based on estimates from the Southern Ontario Gateway Council

  21. Hamilton Gateway Induced Spillover GDP Growth by Region (2031) $$ for Hamilton Economic Region: $ 4.8B $$ Nationally is: $10.2B %

  22. In Comparing Sprawl to Compact+LRT Scenarios (2031): • Auto commuting levels under Compact-LRT: • Vehicle Kilometres Travelled (VKT) reduced by12.5 percent • Vehicle Minutes Travelled (VMT) reduced by 38 percent • Under Compact-LRT Emission levels reduced by: • HC (35%) • CO (23%) • NOx (16%) • Particulate Matter (12%)

  23. NOx Emissions by Scenario (in Kg)

  24. Modal Split of Work Trips (Gateway Compact Scenario)

  25. Modal Split of Work Trips(Gateway-Compact + LRT Scenario)

  26. Recommendations • Hamilton should strive to be compact with future core-oriented residential development • LRT and other public transit should be keenly pursued • AEGD should be a priority but avoid residential in vicinity • Enhanced Containerization and short-sea shipping at port • Formation of Transport-focused Gateway Organization • Sense of Urgency Required • Governments are Spending • Other potential gateways are not standing still • Emphasis on nurturing and growing human capital

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