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Timing the Market with Exchange Traded Funds and Options

Timing the Market with Exchange Traded Funds and Options. Presented by Don Vialoux, CMT www.dvtechtalk.com www.timingthemarket.ca dvialoux@dvtechtalk.com. Yes, You Can Time Equity Markets. Tools needed Fundamental analysis Technical analysis Seasonality analysis. Why Time the Market?.

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Timing the Market with Exchange Traded Funds and Options

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  1. Timing the Market with Exchange Traded Funds andOptions Presented by Don Vialoux, CMT www.dvtechtalk.com www.timingthemarket.ca dvialoux@dvtechtalk.com

  2. Yes, You Can Time Equity Markets • Tools needed • Fundamental analysis • Technical analysis • Seasonality analysis

  3. Why Time the Market? • Buy and hold strategies no longer are working • The current 16 year cycle suggests that Buy/Hold is unlikely to work until the next decade

  4. How to Time the Market • Play intermediate swings lasting 5 – 15 months using seasonality analysis

  5. Seasonality Analysis “Buy when it snows, sell when it goes” For Canadian stocks • Buy at the end of October, sell at the end of March For U.S. Stocks • Buy at the end of October, sell at the end of April

  6. Sector Seasonality • Canadian Energy Sector • From the end of Jan. to the end of May • Number of gains during past 10 periods: 9 • Average gain per period: 11.7%

  7. How to Invest • Own energy stocks or iUnits on the TSX Energy sector (XEG) • Complete covered call writes using XEG calls • Complete cash secured put writes using XEG puts

  8. Sector Seasonality • Canadian Gold Sector • From the end of Jan. to the end of May • Number of gains during past 10 periods: 7 • Average gain per period: 9.0%

  9. How to Invest • Own Canadian gold producer stocks or own iUnits on the TSX Gold Index (XGI) • Complete covered call writes using XGD calls • Complete cash secured put writes using XGD puts

  10. Contacts • Don Vialoux www.dvtechtalk.com • Listed Options www.m-x.ca • Exchange Traded Funds www.iunits.com

  11. Questions ? Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this presentation are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. They should not be considered as recommendations made by Mr. Vialoux, the Montreal Exchange, or Barclays Global Investors.

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