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Economic Benefits of Aviation Weather Support

This article discusses the economic benefits of aviation weather support, including the value of U.S. exports transported by air and the improvements in aviation weather support. It also explores the challenges of measuring the value of weather impacts and the perspectives of passengers, government, and airlines. The article concludes with potential approaches for measuring and improving the value of aviation weather support.

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Economic Benefits of Aviation Weather Support

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  1. Economic Benefits of Aviation Weather Support Bryce Ford/Rick Curtis August 8, 2012

  2. Measuring the Value • Aviation is a very high weather impact segment, and it is as a very significant mode of transportation. • There are currently over 730M U.S. passengers annually and growing • The value of U.S. exports transported by air reached an all-time high of $393B in 2010, accounting for 31% of total U.S. export value. • Significant, measurable improvements in to aviation weather support have been recognized in the following areas: • Advancements within the science of meteorology • Observations • Forecasts • Information Systems • Collaboration and Partnership • Decision Making and Response

  3. Measuring the Value • Weather forecast formats and contents can be a somewhat unspecific relating to: • The location, intensity, and confidence/uncertainty levels • The Impacts on specific airport locations and aircraft sizes • The Industry does not routinely collect data on quantifiable, operational benefits of weather impacts to enable the establishment of a comparative dataset. • Most studies provide a static metric at a given time • Some collect internal metrics but may not share externally • There are no international standards to collect and share information • The benefits vary on the perspective of the…. • Passenger • Government • Airline

  4. Passenger Perspective • Safety • On-Time Performance • Operational Efficiency • Reliability

  5. Government Perspective • FAA • Safety • Capacity Improvement • Environmental Impact • Economic Efficiency • Comfort of Passengers • NOAA/NWS • Balance competing national priorities for weather support • Improve Forecast Accuracy • Reduce Forecast Uncertainty • Improve Observations • Assist with Improved Decision Making • Support a Weather-Ready Nation * Photos Courtesy of FAA Image credit: Jessica Hill/AP

  6. Airline Perspective • Airlines are not always able to quantify weather support • Quantifying weather delays is fairly easy. • Quantifying “avoidable” weather delays is not. • Most efforts to quantify benefits are not done to an industry standard • Fleets are different • Service areas are different • Route structures are different • Schedules are different • Competitive forces can also inhibit sharing of data

  7. Airline Cost Example • Average Cost for One Minute of Extra Taxi Time • $35.90/Minute/Aircraft • $4,200.03/Minute for the Fleet • $873,662.40/Year for One Extra Minute of Fleet Taxi Time • Average Cost for One Minute of Extra Flight Time • $ 96.15/Minute/Aircraft • $11,249.55/Minute for the Fleet • $2,339,906.40/Year for One Extra Minute of Flight Time Fleet wide • Average Labor Cost** for One Minute Late Into Primary Hub • $711.96/Minute/Aircraft • $83,299.32/Minute for Average Day into Primary Hub • $17,326,258/Year for One Minute Late into Primary Hub ** Cost is for Hub Workers Only, does not include Power Consumption, Support Staff, Downstream Impact * Courtesy of UPS

  8. Measuring the Value • Very difficult problem to solve… • Government agencies need this information to not only measure incremental improvements to new products and enhancements to existing products, but continued funding concerns as well. • Industry needs this information to help improve customer service levels, operational efficiency and revenue impacts relating to weather information.

  9. Measuring the Value • How do we measure our improvements without any existing benchmarks? • What meaningful measurements can be realized that benefit both the “consumer” and “producer” of the information? • What can we measure easily to get this process started?

  10. Next Steps • Determine the value and priority? • Determine who will work this issue…It will require a significant level of coordination on both government and industry side. • Identify a set of variables which can be easily measured to get the process started. • Identify what information can be routinely collected from industry…. • How do we get this started?

  11. Possible Approach • Industry and government work together to define an initial set of key weather variables. • Each side will then research internal ways to report data for comparison. • Compare data sets and begin to store and report results. • Start small and keep incorporating new datasets and results into the process.

  12. Thanks! Rick Curtis Southwest Airlines rick.curtis@wnco.com Bryce Ford SpectraSensors bford@spectrsensors.com

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