Michael Zgurovsky National Technical University of Ukraine “Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”

1. Knowledge Security and Responsible Science as Integral Components of a Safe and Secure of Global Society Michael Zgurovsky National Technical University of Ukraine“Kyiv Polytechnic Institute” zgurovsm@hotmail.com

2. INFORMATION SOCIETY (has arisen in 80-90-s of last century) Properties: Development of the knowledge of "how to operate“type The main dimensionof IS is technological; Transformation of information into the digital form; Storage of great volumes ofinformation (data bases); Transfer of great volumes ofdigital information over distances by Internet; Emergence of networkinteraction between people;

3. KNOWLEDGE SOCIETY (has arisen on the boundary of the XX-XXIst centuries) • Properties: • Additionally to knowledge type "how to operate" the knowledge "how to co-exist" has started to be developed; • Dimensions: technological, social, ethnic, political; • Mass production of the new, harmonized knowledge by IKT; • Scientific knowledge became productive forces of K-society; • An integral vector of development of the K-society is quality and safety of people life.

4. K-Society Gauging Matrix (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs2005) If Iks Iia Ia Iks=Iia+If+Ia Iia - Intellectual Assets Index; If - Foresightedness Index; Ia - Advancement Index

5. Indexes ofК-Society

6. 5 Leading countries by K-society Index

7. G8 Counties by K-society index

8. Disharmony between knowledge "how to operate" and "how to co-exist • Top 5 Countries • by Foresightedness Index • Denmark If=0.876 • Austria If=0.828 • Slovakia If=0.759 • Costa Rika If=0.759 • Switzerland If=0.750 • G8 Countries • by Foresightedness Index • 8. Germany If=0.773 • 11.Great Brittan If=0.712 • 14.Japan If=0.683 • 15.France If=0.682 • 25.Italy If=0.662 • 37.Canada If=0.550 • 38.USA If=0,547 • Russia not included in Top 45

9. Comparison of Ukraine with Europe-5 by K-Society Indicators (Europ-5: Finland, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden, UnitedKingdom)

10. – to accelerate development of the first stage (information society) by means of involvement of internal and external investments and carrying out principally important institutional transformations; The possible Ukrainian Strategy of Approaching to K-Society – to mobilize in the unified complex political and public institutions of the state with the purpose of priority development of the next stage – K-society, the main objective of which should be ensuring high quality and security of life for all citizens of Ukraine.

11. Main Global Threats of XXI Century Energy& Resources crisis Environ-mental Problems Global Diseases Growing Biocapacity/ Consumption Misbalance Humanitarian Cataclysms

12. Global Reductionof Natural Energy Resources ! !! !!! ?! 2007 2050 2092 oil gas uranium 235 + – ↑ Consumption Production↓ years //Hermann Scheer – Energy is a driving force for our civilization – SOLAR ADVOCATE, 2005

13. ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS Temperature anomalies for the Russian Federation from July 20–27, 2010 -- Growing pollution of environment;- Global warming;- Climate change;-Natural and Anthropogenicdisasters;- Limited access to the potable water http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=45069

14. Vulnerability to Global Diseases Cancer The World Health Statistics 2009 Mortality Ischemicheart disease Cerebral vascular disease (stroke) HIV/AIDS Tuberculosis Other infectious diseases Malaria Years //World Health Organization: http://apps.who.int/whosis/data/Search.jsp

15. Source: Living Planet Report 2008 Link: http://assets.panda.org/downloads/living_planet_report_2008.pdf Biological Disbalance Ecological debtor and creditor countries, 2005 Gap ≈ 14 BillionGlobal Hectares UN World Population Projections, 1950-2050

16. ‘INFORMATION Information Size > Storage Available Source: IDC Digital Universe Study 2010 Link: http://www.emc.com/collateral/demos/microsites/idc-digital-universe/iview.htm ZB Boom’ 35 ZB 2020 Gap 20 ZB 15 ZB 0,9 ZB Zettabyte= 1021 bytes 0,25 ZB

17. Threat 1 (ES) Threats Totality ••• ES° Threat 10 (ND) Threat 2 (FB) ND° FB° Country Sustainability Isec = - Remoteness to the Threats Totality (Minkovsky Norm) Impact Analysis of the Totality of Global Threats

18. 1. Data Preparation ES – Energy Security FB – Footprint and Biocapacity Misbalance GINI – Inequality GD – Global Diseases CM – Child Mortality CP – Corruption Perception WA – Water Access GW – Global Warming SF – State Fragility ND – Natural Disasters 2. Normalization - Security Index (Minkovsky Norm) 3. Calculation of the Remotness to the Threats Totality Isec = 4. Klasterization Impact Analysis of the Totality of Global Threats on the Sustainability

19. 10 leader Countries in terms of Security of K-Society

20. G8 Countries in Terms of Security of K-Society

21. BRICS Countries in terms of Security of K-Society

22. 10 Least Safe Countries

23. Possible Scenarios Generated by Totality of Global Threats What should happen with the world civilization if its behavior is subordinated to the paradigm of unlimited consumption?

24. The answer to this question can be found in the works of two scientists: «In the geological history of biosphere human beings will have great future, if they realize it and do not use their mind and labor for self-destruction» Vladimir Vernadsky, 1947 «If the mankind is not going to radically change its behavior on the Planetary scale, then in the middle of XXI century there may appear conditions under which people cannot exist» Nikita Moiseyev, 2000

25. The statistical data for Vernadsky’s and Moiseevpostulats corresponded to the constant paradigm of the mankind existence: “Unlimited satisfaction of its needs and requirements” If we assume that the mankind will change the paradigm of its existence on the Planetary scale for K-Society one: «Harmonious coexistence», then mankind will find new prospects for prolongation of its mission on the Planet. What is the way out for mankind for the situation?

26. K-Society Mission Proposal: “To facilitate S&T development in accordance with new challenges and priorities of the international science with the purpose of formation of Safe and Secure Global Society"

27. Thank you !