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This presentation by Dr. Mona Hassan Ahmed, Professor of Biostatistics at HIPH, Alexandria University, covers essential methods in hypothesis testing, particularly focusing on two-sample tests. It examines the Z-test for independent proportions and means, t-Test for independent means, paired t-Test for related groups, and the Chi-Square test for independence. Real-world examples illustrate testing differences in prevalence of eye disease and mean systolic blood pressure between diabetic and healthy populations. The talk emphasizes critical values, decision criteria, and statistical significance levels, essential for data analysis in biostatistics.
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Hypothesis Testing Two-samples tests, X2 Dr. Mona Hassan Ahmed Prof. of Biostatistics HIPH, Alexandria University
Z-test(two independent proportions) P1= proportion in the first group P2= proportion in the second group n1= first sample size n2= second sample size
Critical z = • 1.96 at 5% level of significance • 2.58 at 1% level of significance
Example Researchers wished to know if urban and rural adult residents of a developing country differ with respect to prevalence of a certain eye disease. A survey revealed the following information Test at 5% level of significance, the difference in the prevalence of eye disease in the 2 groups
P1 = 24/300 = 0.08 p2 = 15/500 = 0.03 Answer 2.87 > Z* The difference is statistically significant
t-Test (two independent means) = mean of the first group = mean of the second group S2p = pooled variance
Critical t from table is detected • at degree of freedom = n1+ n2 - 2 • level of significance 1% or 5%
Example Sample of size 25 was selected from healthy population, their mean SBP =125 mm Hg with SD of 10 mm Hg . Another sample of size 17 was selected from the population of diabetics, their mean SBP was 132 mmHg, with SD of 12 mm Hg . Test whether there is a significant difference in mean SBP of diabetics and healthy individual at 1% level of significance
Answer S1 = 12 S2 =11 State H0H0 : 1=2 State H1H1 : 12 Choose αα = 0.01
Answer Critical t at df = 40 & 1% level of significance = 2.58 Decision: Since the computed t is smaller than critical t so there is no significant difference between mean SBP of healthy and diabetic samples at 1 %.
Paired t- test(t- difference) Uses: To compare the means of two paired samples. Example, mean SBP before and after intake of drug.
di = difference (after-before) Sd = standard deviation of difference n = sample size Critical t from table at df = n-1
Example The following data represents the reading of SBP before and after administration of certain drug. Test whether the drug has an effect on SBP at 1% level of significance.
Critical t at df = 6-1 = 5 and 1% level of significance = 4.032 Decision: Since t is < critical t so there is no significant difference between mean SBP before and after administration of drug at 1% Level. Answer
Chi-Square test It tests the association between variables... The data is qualitative . It is performed mainly on frequencies. It determines whether the observed frequencies differ significantly from expected frequencies.
Critical X2 at df = (R-1) ( C -1) Where R = raw C = column • I f 2 x 2 table X2*=3.84 at 5 % level of significance X2* = 6.63 at 1 % level of significance
In a study to determine the effect of heredity in a certain disease, a sample of cases and controls was taken: Example Using 5% level of significance, test whether family history has an effect on disease
Answer X2 = (80-88)2/88 + (120-112)2/112 + (140-132)2/132 + (160-168)2/168 = 2.165 < 3.84 Association between the disease and family history is not significant
Odds Ratio (OR) • The odds ratio was developed to quantify exposure – disease relations using case-control data • Once you have selected cases and controls ascertain exposure • Then, cross-tabulate data to form a 2-by-2 table of counts
2-by-2 Crosstab Notation • Disease status A+C = no. of cases B+D = no. of non-cases • Exposure status A+B = no. of exposed individuals C+D = no. of non-exposed individuals
The Odds Ratio (OR) Cross-product ratio
Example • Exposure variable = Smoking • Disease variable = Hypertension
Interpretation of the Odds Ratio • Odds ratios are relative risk estimates • Relative risk are risk multipliers • The odds ratio of 9.3 implies 9.3× risk with exposure
Interpretation Positive association Higher risk OR > 1 OR = 1 No association OR < 1 Negative association Lower risk (Protective)
OR Confidence level • In the previous example OR = 9.3 • 95% CI is 1.20 – 72.14
Multiple Levels of Exposure • k levels of exposure break up data into (k – 1) 22 tables • Compare each exposure level to non-exposed • e.g., heavy smokers vs. non-smokers
Multiple Levels of Exposure Notice the trend in OR (dose-response relationship)
Small Sample Size Formula For the Odds Ratio It is recommend to add ½ to each cell before calculating the odds ratio when some cells are zeros