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Linking London Workshop 1

Linking London Workshop 1. Employment trends – Higher level skill needs for London. Background. April 2009 - BERR published key policy document called ‘New Industry New Jobs’ This set out the need for a more ‘active’ industrial policy to help recovery from the recession and build growth

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Linking London Workshop 1

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  1. Linking London Workshop 1 Employment trends – Higher level skill needs for London

  2. Background • April 2009 - BERR published key policy document called ‘New Industry New Jobs’ • This set out the need for a more ‘active’ industrial policy to help recovery from the recession and build growth • An active industrial policy also requires a more pro-active approach to skills • In August 2009 the UK Commission was given an important role in providing intelligence about current and future strategic skills needs in England • This would be delivered via a key publication - the National Strategic Skills Audit

  3. Purpose of the Audit • To provide a systematic overview of important strategic skills needs and a solid evidence base for: • Government and key agencies • Education and training providers • Employers • Individuals • In order to: • provide a sense of direction to allow people to better anticipate future skill needs; • enable people to make more informed choices and decisions; and • inform future investment strategies

  4. Project Approach

  5. What the Audit Covers Employment: jobs and skills Skills (mis)matches Drivers of change Key sectors Key occupations • Projections • Significant sectors and their skill deficiencies • Emerging sectors • Cluster and SSC studies • Projections • Cluster and SSC studies Priorities for action

  6. Key Findings: Employment: Jobs and Skills • Employment levels more than 3 million higher than 15 years ago • A growing economy and globally dependent economy • Strong regional concentration • An ageing workforce – 40 per cent now aged 45 and over • Occupations employing the highest number of people are in the three higher skilled groups • Growth in jobs has been mainly in these groups too • Recession has meant rises in unemployment especially for younger people and the lower skilled • In order to meet skills needs and ambitions, growth a in achievements at all qualifications levels is required

  7. Key Findings: Skill Mismatches Labour supply: skills available Labour demand: skills required Skill shortage vacancies 63 EMPLOYMENT Unemployed 2,092 Migrants 3,444 Skill gaps 1,702 Fully employed 18,682 Under employed 2,780

  8. The Drivers of Change Regulation and governance International, national, regional, local Sectoral Consumer demand New markets Choice Demographic change Aging population Migration Growth Labourmarket Skills Values and Identity Individual Group Education Environmental change Climate change Resource shortagePollution Technological change ICT Bio and nanotech Security Economics and globalisation Grade Trade Competition

  9. Key Findings: Sectors • Additional analysis of six ‘emerging’ sectors identified by Government • Digital, Low Carbon, Advanced Manufacturing, Pharma’ and Life Sciences, Engineering Construction, & Professional and Financial Services. • Further analysis of SSC research also reveals 4 key sectors • Creative, Care, Retail, & Tourism, Hospitality and Leisure. • Model to identify present and future key sectors in terms of: • Economic significance (productivity and employment) • Working Futures 2007-17 • Skills needs (skill shortages and gaps) • LFS and NESS 2009

  10. Top 20 fastest growing occupations: 2001-09

  11. Top 20 fastest declining occupations: 2001-09

  12. Priority REDHigh priority skill needs with scale and/or long lead time – for immediate action

  13. Priority RED High priority skill needs with scale and/or long lead time – for immediate action

  14. Key Finding: London: Employment, Jobs and Skills • Twenty two per cent of the English economy (in terms of economic output) is accounted for by London. • This proportion has been rising slightly in recent years at the expense of the rest of England, particularly the North west and West Midlands, which are the regions growing at the slowest pace. • One third of England’s employment is concentrated in London and the South East. • Productivity in London is thirty per cent higher than in the UK as a whole.

  15. Productivity and Employment in the English Regions

  16. Regional Shares of Sectoral Employment

  17. Key Sectors in London • Financial and Professional Services – Much of the employment in this industry is concentrated in specific locations. A quarter of all cluster employees are London based. • Digital Economy – The development of the primary digital economy has been focussed on London and the South East. These two regions share about 44% of digital technology businesses in the UK together. • The Creative Sector – London’s dominance as a centre of cultural and creative leisure opportunities is undiminished. • Tourism, hospitality and leisure – the focus of economic potential for tourism in both revenue generation and job growth . • The Care Sector – children and older people’s services have some of the broadest potential for pan-regional expansion.

  18. Regional Shares of Occupational Employment

  19. Key Findings: Occupations • Expansion in jobs most likely within higher skilled occupations (managers, professionals, assoc prof & technical occupations) and also in personal service occupations • ‘Replacement demand’ (the need to fill jobs as people retire) is a key issue, • There will be significant demand for: • ICT skills amongst managers and professionals across a range of sectors (particularly in computing) • Management skills across a range of sectors • Technician roles across a range of sectors • Front-line service staff especially in social care • Managers and associate professionals in health and social work • STEM skills

  20. Distribution of skills gaps by occupation within region (and employment and profile comparisons)

  21. Skill gap density and volume of skill gaps by region

  22. The nature of skill gaps by region

  23. Skill Shortage Vacancies by Occupation in London • The two occupations reporting the largest percentage of skill shortage vacancies are Associate Professionals and Professionals • Associate Professionals – skill shortage vacancies account for just over twenty per cent of all Hard to Fill vacancies. • Professionals – skill shortage vacancies account for just under twenty per cent of all Hard to Fill vacancies

  24. Key Findings: Skill Gaps and SSVs • The number of employees not fully proficient (ie number of skill gaps) in absolute terms in London is 290,800. • The major types of skills reported which account for SSVs and skill gaps are customer handling, team working and oral communication. • Demand for higher skills matter – with much of skills mismatch occurring with employers (such as skill gaps) the importance on the workplace should not be overlooked.

  25. The 10 key Messages From the Audit • High quality intelligence is crucial to better inform decisions • Skills for jobs matter • Demand for skills matters as much as supply of skills • Workplace ambition, organisation, and development matter • Migration matters • Sectors and geography matter • High level skills and jobs matter • Intermediate skills and jobs matter • Generic, employability and basic skills matter • Low skills jobs will not disappear (still around 20% in 2020).

  26. Group Discussion

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