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MSU Issues & Opportunities

Integrated Approach to Energy Planning. Demand Management. MSU Issues & Opportunities. Supply Management. Integrated Energy Planning Moving Forward. Kathy Lindahl, MSU | Nick Travis and Rob McKenna, Energy Strategies, LLC. MSU Issues. Powerplant capacity issue

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MSU Issues & Opportunities

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  1. Integrated Approach to Energy Planning Demand Management MSU Issues & Opportunities Supply Management Integrated Energy Planning Moving Forward Kathy Lindahl, MSU | Nick Travis and Rob McKenna, Energy Strategies, LLC

  2. MSU Issues • Powerplant capacity issue • CCX – CO2 emission constraints • Nationally – something will happen • Technologies • What do we buy next • Is it ripe enough • Growth - Continue to add 1MM GSF per decade • 2MM in most recent decade • Deferred maintenance • Driving for flexibility • How to integrate the ability to make good financial decision while managing other complexities.

  3. 2023 “Tipping Point”

  4. Bend the Line toward Environmental Stewardship "Dr. King once said that the arc of the moral universe is long but it bends towards justice. It bends towards justice, but here is the thing: it does not bend on its own. It bends because each of us in our own ways put our hand on that arc and we bend it in the direction of justice....“ Senator Barack Obama

  5. Integrated Decision Support FrameworkEconomic, Financial and Decision Analysis Strategic Planning Development & Implementation Operation Supplemental External Subject Matter Expertise (e.g. technical, legal) Internal Subject Matter Expertise Internal Leadership • Integrated Strategic Resource Planning • Examples: • Energy/Utility Master Plans • Climate Action Plans Investment Analysis Procurement Funding Rate Design Contract Negotiations Regulatory Intervention Dynamic Baseline & Performance Measurement Regulatory & Policy Support Market Monitoring & Intelligence

  6. MSU General Analytical Direction Definition & Scope Measure Performance Define Decision Metrics Add Givens Create Baseline Reference Case Add, Renovate & Demolish Impact Demand Vary Utility Plant Operations Impact Supply Apply Alternative Utility Plant Technology Invest in Energy Conserva-tion Analyze Historical Data Define Starting “Test Year” Modify Behavior, Space Use & Building Standards Vary Procure-ment Practices Vary External Planning Environment Feedback & Adjustment

  7. You Can’t Manage What You Don’t Measure

  8. IllustrationExpand Grid Purchases Option

  9. Dashboard – Expand Grid Purchases

  10. An Elemental Understanding of Value Drivers per MWhExpand Grid Purchases Operational Excellence Energy Intensity Environmental Stewardship GHG Intensity

  11. What if: Vary Grid Purchases So Peak is Set by Non-Discretionary Steam Demands

  12. What if: Purchase Blocks of Grid Power to Spread Fixed Capacity Charges over More MWh

  13. What if: Purchase Green Power to Avoid Grid GHG Emissions Without Green Power With 100% Green Power

  14. Vision of Integrated Planning Tools in the Future

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