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Information Technology and Processing Power E-Business Dr. Stephen Tse

Lesson 2. Information Technology and Processing Power E-Business Dr. Stephen Tse Chief Technology Planning Strategist (Greater China CBU, Bell Labs) Associate Professor – QC stse@forbin.qc.edu 908-872-2108. Disruptive Technologies Driving the Communication Industry.

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Information Technology and Processing Power E-Business Dr. Stephen Tse

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  1. Lesson 2 Information Technology and Processing Power E-Business Dr. Stephen Tse Chief Technology Planning Strategist (Greater China CBU, Bell Labs) Associate Professor – QC stse@forbin.qc.edu 908-872-2108

  2. Disruptive Technologies Driving the Communication Industry SCALPEL lithography enables atomic-scale transistors for systems on a chip Protocol-agnostic QoS-enabled routers Software is key to network management and new services Advances in Silicon, Optics, Wireless, and Software will drive a 250-fold increase in network capacity by 2005. 80 wavelengths in 1998, 1,000 wavelengths in 2005 Multi-antenna system increases capacity 10x-100x

  3. Technology Advances Improvement1998 - 2002 Technologies Examples Integrated Circuit Density 16x 4 GBIT DRAM Processor Speed 15x 7700 MIPS-2G High-Speed Switching 25x 25x106 PKTS/SEC 6.4 Terabits/sec Speech Recognition 15x 5000 Word Continuous Speech Lightwave 3x 3.2 Terabits/sec. Storage 25x 50 GBYTE Card Wireless Capacity 20x Digital, Micro and Pico cells Software Productivity up to 10x Reusable Software/ Parallel processing

  4. An Industry in Change Today: Separate Vertical Industries Telephony Telephony CATV CATV Computers Computers Content Content • • Wide Area Wide Area • • Content Providers Content Providers • • Software Providers Software Providers • • Musicians Musicians Networks Networks • • Multiple Packagers Multiple Packagers • • Hardware Providers Hardware Providers • • Reporters Reporters • • Local Network Local Network • • Local Network(s) Local Network(s) • • Networking Networking • • Distribution Distribution • • CPE CPE Channels Channels • • CPE CPE • • Distribution Distribution Channels Channels • • Books Books • • Hardware & Hardware & • • CDs CDs Software Packages Software Packages • • Newspaper Newspaper Future: Information Content Information Content Cyber Carriers Information Information Servers Information Servers Intense Competition Industry • • New Opportunities Information Networks Information Networks • • Business in the speed of Light Information Appliances Information Appliances Technology Convergence Is Breaking Down Barriers Between Historically Separate Industry Segments

  5. Business Processes will Change as Enterprises Incorporate eBusiness Today Business processes bounded by bricks & mortar Customers Traditional Enterprise Partners Manufacturing Logistics Global Locations Suppliers HR, Payroll, Finance Tomorrow Integrated business processes driven by secure access & shared information Transport Service Providers Outsourced Applications Partners Customers Suppliers Virtual Enterprise Remote & Mobile Workers Communities of Interest Global Locations

  6. E-Business Working Definition Technologies advance change business value chain position. Enterprise must continuously optimize its value position in order to stay competitive. An electronic business (e-Business) will use its Information Technologies(IT) infrastructure, networks, and applications for continuous optimization of its value chain position. Supply Chain Management Enterprise Resource Procedure Customer Relationship Management SCM ERP CRM Inventory Financial Marketing Ebiz Sales Purchasing Transaction Flow Logistics Client Services E-Business affects most operational aspects of an enterprise May 1.0

  7. Important uses ofMultimedia Content • Distance learning • Interactive courseware • Telemedicine • Media-enabled • Web radio • Web television • Virtual Office • E-Commerce Stephen Tse

  8. Converged Networks Will Provide • Postal • Standard e-mail works fine • But how about . . . . • Certificate of delivery • Certificate of mailing • Time stamps • Registered post • Secure mail technology is available • (S-MIME) • Works with encryption technology • e-Commerce • Credit cards • Secure as point-point transaction • New schemes (SET) enable capabilities • yet unknown in physical world • Smart cards • Cashless society (anonymity!) • Next generational communication • Single network based personal data • Persistent rules, address books, friends list, . . . • Dynamic directories (Who’s online? Where?) • Unified messaging (Voice/e-mail/video) • Any-device, anywhere, anytime, but under • your control • The TV viewing experience • Meta-information adds to viewing experience • Big-red buy button • Collaborative viewing • Blurr real-time and non-real time • Personalized viewing (learning)

  9. A MEMS Based Mirror Array 4x4 Array of 2-Axis Micromirrors 1mm mirror spacing / 0.5mm mirror diameter Scalable to very large cross-connects (1024x1024) Optical X-C 2-Axis Micromirror Mirror Surface Self-Assembling Springs

  10. Optical Space FabriclRouter I/O Fibers Imaging Lenses Reflector MEMS 2-axis Tilt Mirrors • Inherently bit-rate and protocol independent fabric • Single-stage free space optical interconnection • Compact optics (~25mm x 50mm x 50mm for 256x256 OXC). • < 5msec switching. • ~ 6dB single-mode fiber insertion loss • <-50dB crosstalk

  11. Photon Magic Micro Electro Mechanical Systems .5 mm MEMS OXC I/O Fibers ImagingLenses Reflector MEMS2-axis TiltMirrors • Router

  12. 3,200+ Innovative Companies

  13. Broadband Access Options Fiber Feeder & Heterogeneous ‘First Mile’ ATM PON (FTTH) 100 Optical Ethernet Time-Space Processing VDSL Cable Modem Steerable Beam 10 ADSL Wavelan Megabits SDSL HDSL2 1 HDSL DSL-Lite Stationary beam Wireless Twisted Pair Cable Fiber Ethernet ISDN 0.1 V.90 56K 33.6 28.8 VF Modem 14.4 0.01 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Deployment Year

  14. Free Space Optics – Laser Wireless

  15. Very High Speed Atomic Scale Circuits +5 -5 -15 Power [dBm] -25 -35 -45 -55 120.03 120.04 120.05 120.06 120.07 120.08 120.09 Frequency [GHz] • SCALPEL lithography will make VLSI circuits with 0.03m (~90 atoms) devices practical and economical • 3D semiconductor structures will extend the “Moore curve” beyond lithography • Indium phosphide will provide high speed devices required for future optical networking

  16. What Will Happen in 2005? • Predictable Technologies • - Silicon up by a factor of 50 • - Fiber up by a factor of 100 • - Wireless up by a factor 0f 100-1000 • Unpredictable Architectures and • Convulsive Markets • - IP for everything? • - Home Networks? • - Information appliances? • - Video services on appliances? Palm VII wireless PDA Sony Glasstron personal theater

  17. See You in the next Class !!

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