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Centenarians and Health in Australia

Centenarians and Health in Australia. John McCormack PhD (& A/Prof Heather Booth ANU) LaTrobe University, Victoria, Australia Paper for Eleventh International Federation on Ageing 28-1 June 2012, Prague, Czech Republic j.mccormack@latrobe.edu.au. Marathon at age 100yrs? (Fauja Singh).

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Centenarians and Health in Australia

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  1. Centenarians and Health in Australia John McCormack PhD (& A/Prof Heather Booth ANU) LaTrobe University, Victoria, Australia Paper for Eleventh International Federation on Ageing 28-1 June 2012, Prague, Czech Republic j.mccormack@latrobe.edu.au

  2. Marathon at age 100yrs?(Fauja Singh)

  3. Jean Calment 40yrs(**NB All photos on public record or with informed consent)

  4. Jean Calment 60yrs

  5. Jean Calment 116yrs

  6. Jean Calment 118 yrs

  7. Jean Calment 122+ years

  8. Historical Old Age in Australia1761 – 1875: 114 years Bendigo

  9. Christina Cock – 114 (Australia)

  10. Jack Lockett 111 years(Australia)

  11. Indigenous Australians

  12. WW1 Vet Claude Choules 1901

  13. What is old age?Redefining old age? Traditionally An age of dependency? An age when one has to be provided for? Life Expectancy 1900 approx 51 years / 1908 Age Pension at age 65 years 2010 LE 83.7 years Big increase in LE. New demographic groups of people emerging

  14. Growing older

  15. Rectangularisation of the survival curve

  16. 100 the new 80??(actually 72 is the new 65! [ABS 3302.0])

  17. Centenarian StudyResearch Questions • 1. What are the characteristics of people aged 100 years or more at first assessment? • 2. How do centenarians compare with younger aged cohorts at first assessment?

  18. 1. ACAS (Vic) Data 2002-03 • Aged care Assesment Service: 53951 Ax • Centenarians Assessed (first Ax): 109 • Australian census 2006: .12% pop 65+ assessments) • Data Analysis: • Single Year Age comparison • Cohort comparison - 60s, 80s, 100s

  19. Centenarians - Age

  20. Centenarian Characteristics by single year of age

  21. Centenarian Characteristics by single year of age (%)

  22. Centenarian Characteristics by single year of age

  23. 2. Cohort ComparisonSocio-demog characteristics by Age Group

  24. Health Social characteristics by Age Group

  25. destinations by Age Group

  26. Conclusion Centenarian ACAS Data • Centenarians = The Same and slightly Different? • As expected, slight functional decrease with age. • Age 100 ‘fitter’ than 104 + • Younger centens receive more services than very old ones. • Received services = more to ‘young’ • Recommended for resi Nursing Home increases with age • As expected, more health issues with increasing centenarian age. • No Sig differences on most variables! • Some Heterogeneity: Like younger cohorts (some go home alone etc.) • CONCLUSION: Further research is needed to understand the relationships between age, functional ability, living arrangements and recommended aged care services for our oldest old citizens.

  27. Conclusion- The Future • Will we live to 150 • Will we live 1000 years (Aubrey de Grey) • Are we heading for Immortality • Will we reach the Singularity • Three Views on this : (Olshansky) • 1.Futurists • 2.Optimists • 3. Realists • Implications:Population • Longevity Dividend or Longevity risk or both?

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