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Brazil: Navigating Challenges in Economic Success

This presentation provides an in-depth analysis of Brazil's economic journey, examining its profile as a former Portuguese colony with a diversified economy. We explore the political system, macroeconomic indicators, and the dual transition from import substitution to export-oriented industrialization. Key challenges such as poverty, inequality, and political instability are discussed alongside opportunities for regional integration and globalization. By evaluating economic performance and historical context, we seek to answer whether Brazil truly exemplifies an economic success story.

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Brazil: Navigating Challenges in Economic Success

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  1. BRAZIL An Economic Success Story? Paulo Vicente LCDR/USN

  2. Presentation Overview • Background • Country Profile • Political System • Economy • Macroeconomic Indicators • Import Substitution • Export Oriented • Performance • Challenges • Economic Outlook

  3. Map Source: http://www.interworld-brasil.com Background: Country Profile Former Portuguese Colony Independence Sep 1822 188 Million W-53% M-38% B-6% Roman Catholic ½ Latin America Landmass ½ S. America Population 81% Live in Urban Areas 5th Largest Country 9th Largest Economy

  4. Map Source: http://en.wikipedia.org Background: Political System 3 Branches of Government 5 Administrative Regions 26 States + 1 Federal District 81 Federal Senate 513 Chamber of Deputies 1964-85 Military Regime Voting Mandatory 15 Parties Represented Dual Transition(Political & Economic)

  5. Economy: Macroeconomic Indicators • Diversified Economy • Industry & Manufacturing (37% GDP) • Agriculture (9% GDP) • Services (53% GDP) • Energy • Hydropower Power • Nuclear Power • Ethanol • Foreign Oil

  6. $46B $8B Source: http://web.worldbank.org Economy: Import Substitution Brazil’s Economic Transition Export-Oriented Industrialization Import Substitution Industrialization Neoliberalism Mercantile Economy ISI • Protectionism • Productivity • Consequences EOI • Trade • Investment

  7. Economy: Performance (GDP) Shock Therapy Bresser Plan Real Plan Summer Plan Collor Plan II Cruzado Plan Collor Plan Recession 87-94: Hyperinflation Inflation 400% 1700% 2600% <50% Russian Crisis Political Reforms Mexican Peso Crisis Asian Crisis Argentine Crisis

  8. Challenges 22% Poverty Afro-Brazilians Poorest Literacy Rate 89% 1% Control 45% Farmland 1% gets 50% GDP Rising Crime Rates Public Security

  9. Concentration of Industries Poorer Region Half of Brazil’s Economy

  10. Economic Outlook • Opportunities • Regional Integration • Globalization • Domestic Challenges • Fragile Political System • Bureaucratic Barriers • Public Debt • Productivity • Poverty & Inequality • Global Challenges • Barriers to Trade • Regional Competitors • US & Global Economy

  11. CONCLUSION Economic Performance Source: Bertelsmann Transformation Atlas (BTA) http://www.bertelsmann-transformation-index.de/atlas.0.html?&L=1 Is Brazil an Economic Success Story?

  12. Questions?

  13. BACK UP SLIDES

  14. Economic Performance Source: Bertelsmann Transformation Atlas (BTA) http://www.bertelsmann-transformation-index.de/atlas.0.html?&L=1 Compared to Chile

  15. Inflation

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