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Declaration of Conflict of Interest

Declaration of Conflict of Interest. Global shifts: What’s their impact on the roadmap to make hunger history?. Sarah Luthe Kyuragi (MD). National Center for Global Health & Medicine, Tokyo, Japan. Allan Davison (PhD) Simon Fraser University Vancouver, Canada. Smita Pakhale (MD)

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Declaration of Conflict of Interest

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  1. Declaration of Conflict of Interest

  2. Global shifts: What’s their impact on the roadmap to make hunger history? Sarah Luthe Kyuragi(MD) National Center for Global Health & Medicine, Tokyo, Japan Allan Davison (PhD) Simon Fraser University Vancouver, Canada SmitaPakhale(MD) Ottawa, Hospital Research Inst & University of Ottawa Canada Kris Roberts (MSc student) Simon Fraser University Vancouver, Canada

  3. 3B Trickle down? 3 3A World income $1000s / person • UNICEF 2011 “Beyond the bottom billion” Top 1% $3000 / day Top 1% $3000 / day 1 Quintile Inflation adjusted PPP < $2 / day Poverty trap < $1.25 / day Bar width = income / day Bottom 1% won’t live to 5 y

  4. Slide 4 Global stunting % of people below$1.25 PPP / d MDG1 indicator [Hunger] 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Number of stunted (billions) Bars show absolute numbers UNICEF & WHO www.who.int/entity/nutgrowthdb/jme_unicef_who_wb.pdf

  5. Global under-5 mortality rate Deaths per 1000 live births Predicted

  6. Where do the poor live? 35% 30% 20% 10% 0% India Three of four in MICs China Philippines Nigeria Indonesia Pakistan from Canbur & Sumner Slide 6 http://www.voxeu.org/article/poor-countries-or-poor-people-new-geography-global-poverty

  7. Compare: Nigeria vs Bangladesh http://tinyurl.com/globgap Bangladesh a “LIC” Nigeria Now a “MIC” Bangladesh resourcepoor Nigeria resource rich Slide 7

  8. Something is changing for betterbut … Resources don’t benefit country if wealth flows out  GDP / cap doesn’t mean food for all Indices of poverty, hunger all decreasing Increasingly, govmts are uplifting all 1 2050 will be a very different world

  9. Thank you! Contact: adavison@sfu.ca [please disturb] sarah.luthe@gmail.com More information, free PowerPoint slides www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition

  10. Brookings 100% rIcher Poorer $5000pa $500pa/cap Fragile Nigeria “Stable poor countries are increasing GNI /capita” Bangladesh India China Stable 2000 → 2005 Animation

  11. Take home message • Trends predict: hunger will be history mid-century • This doesn’t help 15000 children born today who will not reach their 5th birthday. • Long term optimism & short term impatience are appropriate The End Slide 11

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