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Comprehensive Framework for External Earthquake Forecasting: Models and Procedures

This document outlines the structure and accommodations of external earthquake forecasting models, specifically focusing on CSEP (Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) Forecast Model 1 and Model N. It details the authoritative data sources utilized, testing and evaluation procedures, and the results from various observational and external forecasting registries. The integration of multiple authoritative earthquake catalogs and testing methodologies ensures robust predictive capabilities. This framework aims to enhance the reliability of earthquake forecasts through systematic assessment and validation of data.

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Comprehensive Framework for External Earthquake Forecasting: Models and Procedures

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  1. CSEP Structure Accommodation of External Forecasting CSEP Forecast Model 1 Authoritative Data Source A … Testing Procedures Forecast Model N Authoritative Data Source B Data Registry Results Forecast Registry Authoritative Eqk Catalog External Forecasting Procedure Special Data Source

  2. CSEP Structure Accommodation of External Earthquake Forecasts CSEP Forecast Model 1 Authoritative Data Source A … Forecast Evaluation Procedures Observational Data Registry Forecast Model N Authoritative Data Source B Results External Forecast Registry Authoritative Eqk Catalog External Forecasting Procedures Observational Data Sources

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