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SMB TRAINING OPTIONS TRAINING PROGRAM Presents:

SMB TRAINING OPTIONS TRAINING PROGRAM Presents:. The M3 Trading System Part 4 August 2011 Market Crash August Expiration. Brought to you by SMB Training A World Leader in Options Education Created and taught by John Locke Locke in Your Success, LLC.

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SMB TRAINING OPTIONS TRAINING PROGRAM Presents:

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  1. SMB TRAINING OPTIONS TRAINING PROGRAM Presents:

  2. The M3 Trading SystemPart 4 August 2011 Market Crash August Expiration • Brought to you bySMB Training A World Leader in Options Education Created and taught by John Locke Locke in Your Success, LLC. “Know what you want, make it happen!”

  3. Disclaimer • 1.       SMB TRAINING is NOT a Broker Dealer.  SMB TRAINING engages in trader education and training.  SMB TRAINING offers a number of products and services, both electronically (over the internet through Smbtraining.com) and in person.  Through Smbtraining.com, SMB TRAINING offers the “Virtual Trading Floor”, a community through which independent traders (subscribers), as well as T3 Trading Group, LLC traders, observe a virtual trading floor environment (as described below) for educational purposes.  SMB TRAINING also offers web-based, interactive training courses on demand. • 2.       The seminars given by SMB TRAINING are for educational purposes only. This information neither is, nor should be construed, as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. You shall be fully responsible for any investment decisions you make, and such decisions will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. • 3.       This material is being provided to you for educational purposes only. No information presented constitutes a recommendation by SMB TRAINING or its affiliates to buy, sell or hold any security, financial product or instrument discussed therein or to engage in any specific investment strategy. The content neither is, nor should be construed as, an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy, sell, or hold any securities. You are fully responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance and liquidity needs. • 4.       SMB Training and SMB Capital Management, LLC are separate but affiliated companies. • 5.       T3 Trading Group, LLC is a Registered SEC Broker-Dealer and Member of the CBOE Stock Exchange (CBSX www.CBOE.com). All trading conducted by contributors on Virtual Trading Floor is done through T3 Trading Group, LLC.6. Any information contained in this presentation is for educational purposes ONLY. Neither Locke In Your Success, LLC, John Locke nor it’s subsidiaries nor any of their respective officers, employees, representatives, agents or independent contractors are, in such capacities, licensed financial advisors, registered investment advisors or registered broker dealers. Neither do they provide investment nor financial advice nor make investment recommendations, nor are they in the business of transacting trades. Nothing in this communication constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, endorsement or offer (buy or sell) by Locke In Your Success, LLC, or others described above, of any particular security, transaction or investment. • 7. The risk of loss in trading securities, options, futures and forex can be substantial. Customers must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situation, before trading. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. See the Options Disclosure Document: Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, as well as its own unique risk factors. Please read the following risk disclosure before considering the trading of this product: Forex Risk Disclosure. Futures and forex accounts are not protected by the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC). • 8. No relevant positions.

  4. Hypothetical Trades Disclaimer • Please note: Hypothetical computer simulated performance results are believed to be accurately presented. However, they are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without any notice. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since, also, the trades have not actually been executed; the results may have been under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commisions. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any portfolio will, or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. All investments and trades carry risks.

  5. August 2011 ExpirationRisk Management and Profit Targets • Trade Size: 1 RUT or 10 IWM Calls • Butterfly Call Ratio: 10 Butterflies to 1 RUT Call (1/1 ratio) • Planned Capital - $50,000 • Profit Target - $5,000 • Max Loss - $5,000 • Reduce Profit Target – in event B/C ratio is altered

  6. About this section • We are going go through trade set up but then we are going to skip the beginning of the trade and go right to where the action is! • Trading extremely volatile moves into expiration. • Responsible trading • Knowing your limitations and when it’s time to give up • Keeping an open mind to the options that are available to you

  7. Entry Position Price ChartAugust Expiration 2011

  8. Entry PositionAugust 2011Expiration

  9. Entry Position for August 2011Expiration on June 24

  10. Fast Forward >>>> to where the trouble startsAugust 2 – 17 DTE

  11. This is what we’ve done so far…. • 6-24 entered with 780 butterflies + 720 call • 7-01 added 10 - 780/790 verticals • 7-07 rolled 780 butterflies to 810 • 7-18 rolled 810 butterflies to 790

  12. Here is the current position

  13. Current Analyze Graph

  14. In Case you are asking…..NO! We are NOT holding off on an adjustment just because the market is at support! Support and resistance areas are where we are most likely to get the very violent and unpredictable moves. Our position has a lot of down side risk and we need to deal with that risk.

  15. Adjustment

  16. New Position

  17. We have increased range to the downside without taking on excessive upside risk and we can take a violent move in either direction

  18. 2 Days LaterAugust 4 – 15 DTE

  19. August 4 – 15 DTE Position has too much positive Delta

  20. Downside risk is becoming excessive

  21. Roll back 750 butterflies 40 points to 710 butterflies and roll back 780/790 vertical spreads to 710/720 vertical spreads

  22. New PositionDelta has been corrected

  23. New Position We are taking on a little upside risk but certainly nothing excessive

  24. 4 Days Later -10 AMAugust 8 – 11 DTE Down 75 points from resistance

  25. 10 AMAugust 8 – 11 DTE

  26. Position could use an adjustment but, since we happen to be checking this position once a day, we will wait till 3:30 The purpose of this slide is to show that we “could have” caught this move before it got too bad

  27. August 8 - 3:30 PM

  28. August 8 - 3:30 PM

  29. If this were live, you’d want to be out of the position this close to expiration with this kind of price movement. But let’s see how long we can hold a relatively safe position!

  30. This is how I would reposition

  31. This is the new 90 ish Delta call Greeks are good

  32. New Position

  33. 4 Days LaterAugust 12 – 7 DTE Over 50 point swing in 3 days

  34. August 12 – 7 DTE

  35. Upside risk is more than we would like but not a huge problem

  36. We can easily correct that!

  37. New Position

  38. 3 Days LaterAugust 15 – 4DTE

  39. August 15 – 4DTE

  40. We have some options:Stay where we areLow risk directional playHop and hope

  41. Low risk directional playThis would be a great alternative to closing the position at a loss. We could pull off most of our upside price movement risk and Theta risk and wait.

  42. Being “willing” to accept a reasonable loss… can create great results!

  43. Hop and HopeCenter our position ATM and hope the price doesn’t move

  44. We close out the existing position and reposition ATM…In doing so, we do not want to take on excessive risk because “One win IS NEVER, EVER worth risking a massive loss!!!

  45. New Position

  46. Next Day August 16 – 3 DTE

  47. Position looks fine and is almost back to break even

  48. We are taking on too much price movement risk

  49. If we choose to stay in we need to cut back the downside risk

  50. New Position

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