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This report by Bruce Bowen, Agriculture & Food Manager at ABARES, provides insights into meat production trends, sheep and cattle numbers, lamb and beef exports, sheep meat prices, and outlook for poultry and pig meat. It highlights shifts in livestock production and key market dynamics.
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Outlook for Meat Bruce Bowen Manager, Agriculture & Food ABARES
Farm dependence on livestock 47% 54% 33% 27% 56% 47% 55%
Sheep flock Proportion of ewes in flock Sheep numbers % Million
Lamb exports Other US China kt
Sheep meat prices lamb mutton 2010-11c/kgcwt
Cattle slaughter & prices Slaughter Saleyard price (right axis) 2010-11 c/kgcwt ‘000 head
Beef exports Other Korea US Japan kt
Japanese beef imports Other US Australia kt
Proportion of beef cattle sold for live export northern Australia, 2009-10
Poultry and pig meat Medium term outlook • Lower feed grain prices • Per person consumption of poultry to increase • Pig meat import growth to slow
Summary of outlook • 2011-12: • Saleyard lamb price: ▲ 4% • Saleyard cattle price: ▲ 5% • 2015-16 • Sheep flock ▲ 73 million • Cattle herd ▲ 28.7million