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2008 Hay and Feedstuff Outlook. J. Ross Pruitt Extension Economist – Livestock Louisiana State University AgCenter. Hay Situation and Outlook. Livestock Marketing Information Center Data Source: USDA/NASS. 2007 TOTAL HAY PRODUCTION. Livestock Marketing Information Center
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2008 Hay and Feedstuff Outlook J. Ross Pruitt Extension Economist – Livestock Louisiana State University AgCenter 2008 Southern Outlook Conference September 22-24, 2008
Hay Situation and Outlook 2008 Southern Outlook Conference September 22-24, 2008
Livestock Marketing Information Center Data Source: USDA/NASS
2007 TOTAL HAY PRODUCTION Livestock Marketing Information Center Data Source: USDA/NASS
2008 Southern Outlook Conference September 22-24, 2008 Projected Supply, Utilization, and Prices for U.S. Hay
2008 Southern Outlook Conference September 22-24, 2008 Projected Supply, Utilization, and Prices for U.S. and Southeastern Hay
2008 Southern Outlook Conference September 22-24, 2008 Projected Supply, Utilization, and Prices for U.S. and Southeastern Hay
Other Feedstuffs Protein • Soybean meal • Cottonseed meal • DDGS • Whole cottonseed • Corn gluten Energy • Whole cottonseed • Corn grain • DDGS • Corn gluten • Soy hulls
2008 Southern Outlook Conference September 22-24, 2008 Other Feedstuffs
Following slides exhibit current costs of shipping hay • 550 mile trip from LA to GA • Quoted rate is $5.00/mile • Assumes hay costs $135/ton • Truck can hold 38 bales • Scenario is updated version from last year Hay Cost Economics
Hay quality questionable due to weather conditions • Decreased fertilizer/herbicide use masked by wetter weather? • Corn prices should moderate but other feeds will be higher. • Producer’s should focus on $/lb. of nutrient not $/lb. of feed. Summary
Presidential election • Overall economy • Strengthening of the dollar • Continuing financial crisis (Bear Sterns, Lehman Bros, AIG, etc.) • Will investors enter commodities more than already have? • Speculators in the futures market • Acreage bidding war • Wheat market • Horse slaughter ban/sale of horses for slaughter Other Factors
Discussion 2008 Southern Outlook Conference September 22-24, 2008