Commuting in America 2013: Understanding Travel Patterns and Trends

1. Commuting in America 2013Alan E. Pisarski PRESERVING THE AMERICAN DREAMOct 2013

2. New approach for CIA based on ACS structure • Not just a book – a series of 16 briefs • Briefs are backed by data sets • All are downloadable and FREE • Co-authored with Dr. Steven Polzin of USF • Housed at AASHTO; Supported by the CTPP • The intent is continuity for CIA into the future • Ability to do updates as data arrive • Reports now dated rather than numbered • Hello CIA 2013; Good-bye CIA IV

3. AVAILABILITY Commuting in America 2013

4. An attempt at estimating total shares of travel

5. 2/3rds of pop change in 65-74 age group

6. Census Projections

7. Modal Trends

8. 2.6 million new commuters in 2012

9. The major Group

10. The Intermediate and Minor Groups

11. What has happened

12. Testing “brand loyalty”

13. Women’s mode choice moves closer to mens 2011 ACS Re departure for work At 6:30 am men 2x women 6:30 – 7:30 it’s a guy thing At 7:30 they are = After 7:30 women predominate

14. A key guide to Commuter flows

15. CIA started tracking this in 1990

16. Figure 7-11 Distribution of Workers by Household Vehicle Availability

17. About the same number of households without vehicles since 1980 – 10 million 9% of hh have no vehicles; but only 3% of hh with workers have none And in only 8% are there more workers than vehicles In the rest cars = or exceed workers 2011 9.3% 2012 9.2%

18. Figure 7-9 Long-Term Trend in Households with Zero Vehicles by Racial/Ethnic Group

19. DRAMATIC CHANGES IN TRAVEL TIMES

20. SOME HELP ON VEHICLE SPENDING A guide to spending on vehicles 2011 CEX Lowest income $3,256 Average income $4,365

21. A QUICK VIEW OF SOME FINDINGS • Growing National Disparities • 1000 counties lost population ; 1000 gained 97% of population • More of >65 population is at work = circa 15% • 28% of households have no workers • 2/3rds of workers (93 million) live in households with other workers • Commuting remains extremely important but it's share of travel appears to have stabilized at levels meaningfully below those in prior decades. • Personal vehicle commuting retains a dominant share; however, change is limited in share • Carpool losing market share until a 2012 uptick • Women more oriented to SOV than men • Women’s overall mode distribution moving closer to Men’s • The transportation share of consumer spending declined w recession, now in rebound • 2011 travel time = 25.5 minutes; identical to 2000 • Walk to work (2.77%) share half of share in 1980 (5.6%) • Work at home increases from 2 million in 80 to 6 in 2010 • Workers working outside their county of residence quadrupled since 1960; now at 27%

22. Isn’t it suspicious that the problem is always individual behavior and the solution is always government action? Robert Bradley Jr. Thank you Alan E. Pisarski