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Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) Program

Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) Program . CAREC Secretariat Asian Development Bank 9 March 2011. Scope of Presentation. Overview of CAREC Sectoral overview: Transport and Trade facilitation Sectoral overview: Energy Other Initiatives CAREC Program in 2010-2011.

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Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) Program

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  1. Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) Program CAREC Secretariat Asian Development Bank 9 March 2011

  2. Scope of Presentation • Overview of CAREC • Sectoral overview: Transport and Trade facilitation • Sectoral overview: Energy • Other Initiatives • CAREC Program in 2010-2011

  3. Overview of CAREC

  4. What is CAREC? • Partnership • Member Countries: AFG, AZE, PRC, KAZ, KGZ, MON, PAK, TAJ, TKM, UZB • Multilateral Institution (MI) Partners: ADB, IMF, WB, EBRD, IsDB, UNDP • Informal arrangement but a serious commitment by all • Strong MI collaboration, but ownership by countries • Action-oriented and Pragmatic approach • Based on clear strategies and action plans • Covers both hard and soft aspects of cooperation • Invests in transport, energy, and trade facilitation • Promotes capacity development and networking

  5. Vision Good Neighbors, Good Partners, Good Prospects Goal Development through cooperation, leading to accelerated economic growth and poverty reduction

  6. CAREC Strategies and Action Plans • CAREC Comprehensive Action Plan • Endorsed in 2006 at the 5th CAREC Ministerial Conference (MC) in PRC • Transport and Trade Facilitation Strategy and Action Plan • Strategy endorsed in 2007 at the 6th MC in TAJ & Action Plan in 2008 at 7th MC in AZE • Trade Policy Strategic Action Plan • Endorsed in 2008 at 7th MC in AZE • Energy Strategy and Action Plan • Strategy endorsed in 2008 at the 7th MC in AZE & Action Plan in 2009 at 8th MC in MON

  7. Approved CAREC-related Projects (as of Feb 2011; in US$ million)

  8. Overall Institutional Framework (OIF) OIF supports: • Broad-based dialogue and consensus building • Identification and prioritization of regional cooperation initiatives • Mobilization of financial and technical resources

  9. Overall Institutional Framework (OIF) • Ministerial Conference (MC) • Provides overall guidance to the CAREC Program and determines policy and strategic directions and goals. • Senior Officials’ Meeting (SOM) • Ensure the effective implementation of the policy decisions made by the Ministerial Conference. • Its main responsibilities include: • reviewing and articulating issues that emerge from the operational level and making relevant recommendations to the Ministers • preparing for the Ministerial Conference • Sector Committees • Lead the program in four priority areas, Transport, Trade Facilitation, Trade Policy and Energy • These committees feed their outputs to the SOM and the MC. • CAREC Secretariat - ADB

  10. Role of NFPs and Sector Focal Points • National Focal Points (NFPs) • Ensure effective coordination (i) among concerned agencies and other interested parties in matters related to regional economic cooperation; and (ii) between the government and the CAREC secretariat. • Sector Focal Points • Act as focal points for the relevant sector works in the CAREC Program in close coordination with the NFPs and other concerned parties in the countries.

  11. CAREC Results Framework Central Asia Regional Economic Results Framework DESIRED LONG-TERM IMPACT OF CAREC PROGRAM 'Accelerated economic growth and poverty reduction' Level 1: CAREC COUNTRIES' DEVELOPMENT OUTCOMES • Aggregated data for macro-level indicators in: • Poverty Reduction • GDP, Trade and Business Environment Level 2: CAREC PRIORITY SECTOR OUTPUTS • Aggregated data for sectoral level indicators in: • Transport Sector •Trade Policy Sector • Trade Facilitation Sector •Energy Sector Level 3: OPERATIONAL AND ORGANIZATIONAL EFECTIVENESS • Aggregated data for input level indicators in: • Operations Growth •Knowledge Management • •Finance Mobilization

  12. Results Framework Schedule 31 January Data Submission MINISTERIAL CONFERENCE Quarter 4 Quarter 1 CAREC RESULTS FRAMEWORK SENIOR OFFICIALS’ MEETING (FALL) SENIOR OFFICIALS’ MEETING (SPRING) Quarter 3 Quarter 2 Sector Coordinating Committees and CAREC Secretariat identify mechanisms to address the actions, and update work plans.

  13. Sectoral OverviewTransport and Trade Facilitation

  14. CAREC—A Silk Route to Markets • East Asia  EU • 1995 = $244 billion • 2008 = $795 billion • East Asia  Middle East • 1995 = $57 billion • 2008 = $454 billion • EU  South Asia • 1995 = $34 billion • 2008 =$117 billion

  15. Transport and Trade Facilitation: Strategic Priorities • Upgrade the 6 transport corridors • 1. Europe – East Asia Corridor 4. Russian Federation – East Asia • 2. Mediterranean – East Asia 5. East Asia – Middle East and South Asia • 3. Russian Federation – Middle 6. Europe – Middle East and • East and South Asia South Asia • Develop safe, people-friendly transport systems • Ensure efficient movement of goods and people • simplify and harmonize regulations that govern cross- border trade

  16. Heading

  17. Heading Europe-East Asia Corridor • Text • Text

  18. Heading Mediterranean-East Asia Corridor • Text • Text

  19. Heading Russia-Middle East-SouthAsia Corridor • Text • Text

  20. Heading Russia-East Asia Corridor • Text • Text

  21. Heading East Asia-MiddleEast, South Asia Corridor • Text • Text

  22. Heading Europe-Middle East, South Asia Corridor • Text • Text

  23. Key Achievements in TTF • Improved the corridor network • Embarked on 65 projects worth over USD10 billion • 32% of road and rail corridors completed (as of 10/2010) • Promoted customs cooperation and transit • Capacity building and investments on customs reforms • Customs modernization, adoption of risk management and post-entry audit, and joint customs control started • Safe packet systems in KAZ and KGZ in place • Cross-border transport agreement signed by KGZ and TAJ for CAREC Corridor 5 • Carried out integrated trade facilitation • Regional association of freight forwarders established • Corridor performance being monitored and measured • Single window systems being adopted

  24. Cross-Border Transport Agreement • Key elements • Enables and makes easy international road transport along CAREC corridor • Allows entry of vehicles registered in the other country • Mutually recognizes driving licenses, transport operators’ license, and third-party motor vehicle liability insurance • Exempts goods, vehicles and containers in transit from customs formalities • Harmonizes design and construction standards of roads, bridges, road signs and signals, and road safety and border crossing infrastructure and equipment • Facilitates border crossing formalities • Promotes one-stop, single-window clearance; advance exchange of information; risk management/post-entry audit • Synchronizes border crossing point operating hours • Harmonizes cross-border trade documents

  25. Future Directions of TTF (1) • Accelerate infrastructure investment • Improve border infrastructure and facilities • Hard and soft aspects of border crossing points improvement • Promote Cross Border Transport Agreement • Accession by other CAREC Countries • Follow-up activities for effective implementation • Develop capacities • Establishment of efficient management systems andassociated capacity building • framework to rationalize sustainable skills development

  26. Future Directions of TTF (2) • Maintain momentum of new institutions • National Joint Committees, CAREC Federation of Carrierand Forwarder Associations • Address new areas • Sanitary/phyto-sanitary inspection; • Movement of people (particularly business people) • Optimize use of Corridor Performance Measurement and Monitoring (CPMM) results • corridor analyses plus country level & project analyses • targeted work plan to tackle weakest link on corridors and worst bottlenecks at bordercrossing points

  27. Sectoral OverviewEnergy

  28. Legend 24,100 Coal MTOE 16,000 5,400 Crude Oil MTOE 2,700 Gas MTOE 27 Hydro Potential TWh/year Kazakhstan 4,607 590 2,851 580 The Kyrgyz 5 82 5 Republic 1,674 2,678 Republic 163 0 15 Uzbekistan 68 2,610 2 514 Turkmenistan Tajikistan 507 2 5 317 Source: World Bank

  29. CAREC Energy Sector Strategy Long-Term Vision • Ensure energy security • Enhance economic growth through energy trade Strategic Elements • Domestic and cross-border investments • Capacity Building and Knowledge Sharing • Policy measures Strategic Dimensions - 5 Energy Corridors • Cooperation opportunities within Central Asia, Central Asia-PRC, Central Asia-South Asia, Central-Asia-Russia, & Central Asia-EU

  30. Strategic Dimensions Electricity Coal Oil and Gas Kazakhstan Uzbekistan Electricity Turkmenistan Coal Kyrgyzstan Azerbaijan Tajikistan PRC Afghanistan

  31. Energy Sector Action Plan (2010-2013) Approved October 2009 RESULTS Energy security and efficiency, affordability • Priority: • Central Asia • Electricity ACTIONS Energy Demand/ Supply Balance and Infrastructure Regional Dispatch and Regulatory Development Energy Water Linkages • Regional Institutions • Energy Sector Coordinating Committee (ESCC) • Regional power dispatch center (CDC) • RichEnergy Resources • Oil, Gas, Water, Wind, Coal • Extensive reserves and renewables • Diversity of resources • Uneven distribution across countries • Export Opportunities • South Asia • China • EU • Russia RESOURCES CAREC

  32. Pillar 1: Energy Demand/Supply Balance and Infrastructure Constraints • Action Plan Objective • To promote regional trade by optimizing integrated transmission and generation expansion • Why? • Uneven energy demand/supply balance • Infrastructure constraints (generation, transmission, distribution) • How • Investment: Promote infrastructure investment • Capacity development & knowledge sharing: Conduct thematic capacity development program • Policy measures: Develop Regional Power Master Plan for 4 Central Asian countries + Afghanistan based on a diagnostic study • Progress • Several investment projects completed and on going • Diagnostic study completed in 2010 • Regional Master Plan to be delivered for the 10th CAREC MC 32

  33. Regional Power Transmission Tajikistan Ongoing Afghanistan Proposed

  34. Pillar 2: Regional Dispatch and Regulatory Development • Action Plan Objective • To maximize the benefits of unified operation of the Central Asia Power System • Why? • Substantial decline in regional energy trade • Ensure reliable power supply • Enable optimal utilization through balanced dispatch and regulatory • How? • Investment: Phase investments based on diagnostic study • Capacity development & knowledge sharing: Strengthen CDC and national load dispatch centers and support for regulators • Policy measures: Develop an institutional platform and framework for regional power trade • Progress • Diagnostic study completed in 2010 • Next steps to be identified by the ESCC 34

  35. Pillar 3: Energy-Water Linkages • Action Plan Objective • To Strengthen cooperation by integrating energy and water analysis • Why? • Transboundary water management • Need for integrating energy and water analysis • How • Investment: Identify consensus projects to improve the rational and effective use of energy and water • Capacity development & knowledge sharing: Enhance integrated energy-water models, analytical tools, and shared databases • Policy measures: Strengthen Central Asian institutions to lead the dialogue and analysis on rational use of energy-water resources • Progress • Initial consultations have been done in 2010 • Detailed TORs for energy-water analytical and institutional framework to be developed in 2011 35

  36. Future Directions • Proceed to next steps in work plan • Complete Regional Power Sector Master Plan (Pillar 1) • Identify priority activities in coordination with USAID and implement short term actions (Pillar 2) • Prepare detailed terms of reference for energy-water analytical and institutional frameworks (Pillar 3) • Develop the rolling project pipeline • Conduct Capacity Building Program • Action plans focusing on other energy corridors to be considered in the medium term • Nominate and confirm alternate Focal Points

  37. Other Initiatives

  38. Trade Policy Strategic Action Plan (TPSAP) • Strategic goals • More open economies • WTO membership for all countries • Capacity development and knowledge transfer of trade and trade policy issues • Operational strategy • Broad-based reduction in trade barriers, increased transparency, and simplification of trade regulations • Provide practical assistance to non-WTO members to build capacity and transfer knowledge • Capacity building and knowledge transfer activities

  39. Key Achievements in 2010 • WTO accession training • Seminars by countries • Seminars by World Bank • Analytical note • Monitoring TPSAP implementation • Questionnaire formulated • Some progress but more efforts needed: • Simplification of trade tax regime • Reduction of tariffs • Trade Liberalization Index 2009: most 2010 targets met • Institutional impediments to trade • Analytical study completed • Recommendations: • Simplify procedures for import and export • Improve general business environment • Deepen financial system • Next steps: • Countries’ specific agendas to be monitored by TPCC

  40. Future Directions • WTO accession • Impact of trade agreements and customs union • Knowledge sharing training program • Round Table on progress and impediments at next TPCC meeting • Monitoring TPSAP implementation • Submit responses by end-February 2011 • Trade Liberalization Index for 2010 • Institutional impediments to trade • Country-specific plans by end-February 2011

  41. CAREC Institute (CI) • Mission • Enhance the quality of regional cooperation by generating world-class knowledge resources in the priority areas of transport and trade facilitation, energy and trade policy. • Structure • Initially “virtual” • Main outputs • Professional development and training • Research program • Outreach program • CAREC Program Results Framework

  42. CI Progress Report • Key Developments: • Capacity Building: Leadership Dev’t Initiative (LDI); training/knowledge sharing for priority and Tier 2 sectors • Research: sector studies; research programs; issue-specific studies • Outreach: website; seminars • Work plan for late 2010 - 2011: • CAREC 10-Year Commemorative Study (Part 2) • Preparation of CI work plan for 2012-2014, etc

  43. CI Performance Assessment Review: Activity-level Recommendations • Align with priority sectors’ needs, themes and projects • Focus on in-depth and practical training • Adopt guidelines/mechanisms for research programs: selection of participants; peer/external review etc. • Target audience-message interface to communicate CAREC themes more effectively

  44. CI Performance Assessment Review: Broader-level Recommendations • Strengthen interface between CI, sector coordinating committees and in-country teams • Strengthen interface with other partner multilateral and local institutions • Enhance CAREC Secretariat functions • Adopt quick response mechanisms • Institutionalize post-program evaluation

  45. CAREC Program in 2010-2011

  46. Achievements in 2010 • Sector-related progress (mentioned earlier) • Completed part 1 of 10-year commemorative study – 10 year stock-take of CAREC’s progress • Completed first Development Effectiveness Review • Planned and agreed on 10-year anniversary activities • Organized SOMs and 9th MC • Convened first-ever CAREC Ministerial Retreat

  47. 2011 CAREC Deliverables • Part 2 of 10-year commemorative study (“CAREC 2020”) • Development Partners’ Meeting (DPM) • CAREC video • Signing of agreements • SOMs and 10th MC • Sector Committee Meetings • External relations plan • Results framework and Development Effectiveness Review

  48. CAREC 2020 • Strategic framework for CAREC for 2011-2020 • Vision and goal same as the Comprehensive Action Plan • Good neighbors, good partners, good prospects • Development through economic cooperation • Focus on implementing projects in priority sectors • Develop a medium-term rolling pipeline • Strengthen country ownership and institutional arrangements • Mobilize increased resources • Monitor results

  49. Indicative Calendar of Core Activities

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