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Causal analysis

Causal analysis. Conflict, gender, HRBA, MDGs. This session. Framework; next… Methodology: causal analysis (conflict, HRBA, gender, etc.) Identifications of issues Applying the methodology – Corruption Group case studies for CCA Tomorrow: causal & gaps – group work Conclusion.

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Causal analysis

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  1. Causal analysis Conflict, gender, HRBA, MDGs

  2. This session • Framework; next… • Methodology: causal analysis (conflict, HRBA, gender, etc.) • Identifications of issues • Applying the methodology – Corruption • Group case studies for CCA • Tomorrow: causal & gaps – group work • Conclusion

  3. Methodology Causal, conflict, gender, HRBA, MDGs analysis: • Identify the problems/issues • Understand WHY the problems are occurring: causes • Rank the causes (immediate, structural) • Make linkages across problems & causes • Assess on-going responses & gaps • Identify action to address problem In the context of a CCA the causal analysis complemented by: • role analysis - who must do something about it • analysis of what capacities are needed to take action • analysis of UN comparative advantages

  4. The conflict, gender, HRBA, MDG lens Look at the identified problems thinking: • Has has the issue contributed to creating national/local level conflict or to undermining peace consolidation? How? Are women particularly affected? also look at: • The impact of conflict on the situation? On the relevant MDGs?

  5. Causal tree with a conflict, gender, HRB lens Problem Immediate causes Structural causes

  6. Using a conflict, gender, etc. lens Identify: • actions that, whilst addressing the identified sector problem, will contribute to reducing conflict risks (e.g. conflict sensitive actions) & key stakeholders Guide in assessing: • If & how on-going responses are addressing the problem & related causes (inc. linkages to conflict), & the gaps

  7. A critical last question Thinking about actions, ask: • What, where, how can action produce the greatest transformation & results in terms of addressing the structural & immediate state & peace building challenges?

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