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Mobility Initiative Strategy for NSSTG

Mobility Initiative Strategy for NSSTG. Status Checkpoint 8 Jan 2009 – updated Tim McSweeney EDCS-730562. Goal and Agenda. Meeting Goal Solicit your feedback and participation to identify projects where NSSTG can best support Cisco’s Mobility Initiative over the next 6-12-18-24 months

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Mobility Initiative Strategy for NSSTG

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  1. Mobility InitiativeStrategy for NSSTG Status Checkpoint 8 Jan 2009 – updated Tim McSweeney EDCS-730562

  2. Goal and Agenda • Meeting Goal • Solicit your feedback and participation to identify projects where NSSTG can best support Cisco’s Mobility Initiative over the next 6-12-18-24 months • Timeline: Crisply defined “project package” (aka “solution”) proposals for 2009 by 20 Jan • Agenda • Mobile Wireless Networking Landscape • Level-set on technology & market outlook • Strawman Strategy for NSSTG • Next Steps

  3. The Mobile InternetMobile Wireless Networking Landscape

  4. Mobile Wireless Networking Landscape Technology/Initiative Scope User Devices/CPE Access Backhaul & Aggregation Core Enterprise Edge Enterprise DC / App. Mobile Subscriber 3G / LTE IP-RAN Security Security Enterprise mobile workforce WiMAX Carrier Ethernet Femtocell Mobile Email Unified communication Mobile Video: Video surveillance; Digital Signage Field Service Dispatch, mug shot, criminal record lookup Mobile VPN Automotive Telemetric RFID, etc. Policy IP MPLS Internet Wireless broadband access for home/branch Policy Satellite F/R ATM T1 Traffic / Service control Vehicle networking City Mesh Traffic / Service control Mobile Internet Hotspot Wireless sensor Campus, service field WIFi networking WLAN Campus Ethernet Switch

  5. Mobile Wireless Networking Landscape SP Focus User Devices/CPE Access Backhaul & Aggregation Core Enterprise Edge Enterprise DC / App. Mobile Subscriber 3G / LTE IP-RAN Security Security Enterprise mobile workforce WiMAX Carrier Ethernet Femtocell Mobile Email Unified communication Mobile Video: Video surveillance; Digital Signage Field Service Dispatch, mug shot, criminal record lookup Mobile VPN Automotive Telemetric RFID, etc. Policy IP MPLS Internet Wireless broadband access for home/branch Policy Satellite F/R ATM T1 Traffic / Service control Vehicle networking City Mesh Traffic / Service control Mobile Internet Hotspot Wireless sensor Campus, service field WIFi networking WLAN Campus Ethernet Switch Enterprise Markets

  6. Wireless System Evolution: Radio Standards * TD-SCDMA: Preferred standard in China & by China Mobile (CMCC) Source: Wikipedia, 2009-01 – 3G, 4G, HPSA, WiMAX

  7. Business Case / Market Analysis – 4G: LTE Will Surpass WiMAX by 2012 • “(Beginning) in 2008, WiMAX is the first next-generation technology to be productized and reach the market… … however we do not believe that WiMAX will ultimately emerge as the dominant next-generation technology” • “Instead, we believe the LTE market will become the dominant next-generation technology… [by 2012]” WiMAX: Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access; IEEE 802.16; (4G) LTE: Long Term Evolution; 3GPP; (4G) Source: Dell’Oro Group, Mobility Report, Five Year Forecast, July 2008

  8. Business Case/ Market Analysis: Mobility Subscriptions 5.4B in 2012 • “We forecast that worldwidemobility subscriptions will grow to 5.4B in 2012, for a penetration rate of 72%, as compared to just 41% in 2007 (Figure 3).” World Population: 6,706,993,152 (July 2008 est.), according to www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/print/xx.html Source: Dell’Oro Group, Mobility Report, Five Year Forecast, July 2008

  9. 700 600 Aggressive 500 400 300 Conservative 200 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 Mobile Internet: 100-fold Traffic Growth by 2013-2015  Data demand driving traffic growth Growth in traffic compared to 2007 Data Traffic Source: Mark Grayson, NG Mobile Networks: architectural transformation and evolution toward IP, Networkers, 2009-01; Rysavy Research, EDGE, HSPA, LTE - Broadband Innovation, 2008-09, pdf, 104 pp., ref p. 12.

  10. Worldwide Mobile Backhaul Market Size and Forecast Pseudowire & Non-Pseudowire Pseudowire Backhaul Equipment Revenue Source: Infonetics Research, Inc., Mobile Backhaul Equipment, Installed Base, and Services, April 21, 2008

  11. Worldwide Mobile Backhaul Equipment Revenue by Technology • Dramatically increasing mobile connections drive demand for Ethernet copper/fiber and Ethernet microwave equipment Source: Infonetics Research, Inc., Mobile Backhaul Equipment, Installed Base, and Services, April 21, 2008

  12. Vision: In 2012 . . . • Ericsson: 50 percent of all laptops will include a built-in mobile broadband module • Over 1.5 billion [laptop] users will have mobile broadband access • HSPA (“3.5G”): Downlink up to 7.2 Mbps; Uplink up to 2 Mbps • One of 3 OSs will run most mobile handsets • Android + Symbian; Windows Mobile; iPhone OS • In 2012 many mobile networks will have a mixture of wireless technologies • 2G, 2.5G, 2.75G, 3G, 3.5G, 3.75G, pre-4G, 4G • 2012 may see first 2G (GSM) networks being decommissioned • Many more users . . . and different kinds of “Users” • Networked vehicles will be common • Connection persistency across media types will emerge • “Cloud Computing” services will be common and advancing • Ad Hoc Networking directly among “Users” may emerge • SP’s networks will still not provide inter-network mobility • Clients will not have seamless inter-SP mobility • Public Safety (Police, Fire, Ambulance) • Transport (Taxi, Bus, Trucks, Rail, Air, Ferry) • Utility Services (Electricity, Gas, Water) • Automobiles (“10 IP addresses per car ”)

  13. Why No Uptake of Mobile IP? • No market uptake of Mobile IP solution • Standards-based Mobile IP in T train for ~10 years • Works great on ARTG Cisco 3200 Series Mobile Access Router (MAR) • SMBU uses Mobile IP for Cisco Mobile Wireless Router (MWR) • Models: MWR-1941, MWR-2941 • Mobile IP in MR train lags behind most current content in T train Cisco 3200 Series Mobile Access Router Cisco MWR-2941-DC Mobile Wireless Router FCS: February 16, 2009

  14. Mobility Strategy for NSSTGSTRAWMAN DRAFT

  15. Mobile Subscribers Enterprise mobile workforce RNC Vehicle networking The Main Plays in MobilityPotential NSSTG Project Areas Legend: Red – Actionable Blue – No action • Mobile IP • Mobile Communications Management • Session Continuity • /App Persistence User Devices/CPE Mobile Network Radio Equipment Radio Access Network Traffic Backhaul Enterprise Edge, Enterprise Apps Security Packet Switched Network IP/MPLS Policy Data Center & Apps Traffic / Service Control • Mobile Backhaul • High Availability • Quality of Service • Clocking • Subscriber Management • Identity • Connection Management • Session Continuity • /App Persistence • SP Infrastructure relationship with CPE Node B • Radio Vendors: • Ericsson, Nokia Siemens, Huawei, Hitachi, … • Cisco WNBU • WiMAX (Navini) • Wi-Fi / 802.11

  16. AToM Pseudowire AToM Pseudowire ATM VC, TDM (SATOP, CESoPSN) E1 (w/ IMA) ATM or TDM BSC ATM RNC AToM Pseudowire S-PE, MS-PW ATM or TDM Mobile RAN Services ArchitectureTactical: 1 and 2 & Strategic: 3 and 4 EoMPLS/VPLS/H-VPLS (for UMTS IP RAN 1 UMTS ATM Node B, GSM BTS Ethernet Pseudowire/VPLS/H-VPLS 2 BSC ATM RNC The BTS model may be overlaid on 3 for tactical sales reasons Static or IGP Overlay on an MST/REP and not protected Ethernet Access Network Ethernet 100/1000/10G Ethernet Ethernet RNC 3 This model assumes GSM TDM infrastructure is used until GSM radio moved to UMTS or LTE May coexist with 1 and integrate 2 MPLS/IP, MPLS VPN for LTE IP RAN and UMTS IP RAN REP Ethernet Pseudowire S-PE, MS-PW Ethernet 4 Ethernet RNC This model may integrate GSM TDM Requires Kytes and CSR 3.1 thus not 1.6 MPLS/IP, MPLS VPN UMTS IP Node B, LTE eNode B Efficient Access Mobile RAN Edge Large Scale Aggregation Multiservice Core ATM, TDM, Ethernet NNII MPLS enabled Cell Site ATM or TDM or Ethernet NNII Distribution Node Aggregation Node ATM, TDM, Ethernet Cell Site RNC or BSC MPLS 2G/3G Cell Site MPLS / IPoDWDM Source: C Lewis, H Miclea, SPSU, 11/2008

  17. Mobile Backhaul Assumptions • Mobile wireless data traffic is expected to increase dramatically from 2009 through 2012 •  Mobile Radio Network capacity will increase dramatically • (Fundamental assumption. Will subscribers really demand that much?) •  Mobile Backhaul requirements therefore will increase dramatically • The huge growth in data traffic will be served by next generation radio equipment • Existing 2G infrastructure will be leveraged for voice traffic • New 3G & 4G infrastructure will focus on data traffic initially •  There will be a mix of radio technologies •  Must support backhaul for both existing (ATM & TDM) andnew (Ethernet) connection types • Mobile services will require extremely high levels of availability and performance • High Availability, QoS, Event Monitoring and more will be required • End-to-End Layer 2 Service Resiliency • We don’t care which radio technology is used • Backhaul requirements will be the same for 2G, 3G, 4G standards

  18. RAN Transport Business DevelopmentGeorge Manuelian & Team • Focus accounts • AT&T Wireless – USA • América Móvil • Telcel – Mexico • Puerto Rico Telephone • Claro – Argentina & Brasil • China Mobile Comm. Corp. (CMCC) • Vodafone • Owns % VzW, % CMCC, & others • DT & T-Mobile • Replacing Transport Networks • (SONET, TDM, ATM) • Drivers • 3G phones (iPhone, etc.): Fast growing bandwidth demand • 3G Node Bs (eNode B): LTE & WiMAX • Clocking Needs • IEEE 1588 v2 • Synchronous Ethernet (ITU) • Clocking NMS: MIBs for network clock quality monitoring Source: George Manuelian, 2008-12-22; 2009-01-06

  19. RAN Transport / Mobile BackhaulExisting projects/project requirements • VCCV on MS-PWs (end-to-end OAM on MS-PWs) • HS-PW (backup PW provisioning) • Multiple Backup PWs (>1 backup path) • Inter-Chassis Signaling (enable backup recovery via another chassis) • BFD-VCCV (much faster fault detection) • BFD Client for LDP (greater scalability) • Access Circuit Redundancy (resiliency for AC or node failures) (ACR)

  20. Co-RequirementsNeed to build out potential project proposals Radio Access Network Traffic Backhaul • Major Co-Requirements for RAN Transport / Mobile Backhaul • Subscriber Management • Identity • Connection Management • Connection/Application Persistency • Mobile Communications Manager • Mobile Backhaul • High Availability • Quality of Service • Clocking • Subscriber Management • Identity Enterprise Edge; User Devices/CPE • Connection/ Application Persistency • Mobile Communications Manager

  21. Next Steps • Identify & adopt “whole product” market solutions • Example: Mobile RAN Services Architecture • Build out potential project proposals • “Explode” the “whole product” deliverable into “project packages” • Important & desired: Identify co-requirements/dependencies • I solicit your feedback & over the next 2 weeks • Thank you!

  22. Flexible Edge ArchitectureDistributed Service Control ISG Application Servers/Middleware (Voice, Video, Control,...) AAA AAA/Portal – NMS/OSS Open Interfaces:Radius, XML, Diameter,.. Open Control/Service Interfaces Open/ StandardizedInterfaces:ANCP... MSPP SBC VoD Open/StandardizedInterfaces:Intra- andInter-Boxdeployments Cable IPTV DPI Fire-wall DSL • L2 P-to-P • L2 MP local bridging • L2 Multipoint • L3 routed • Transport/tunnel protocol independent • Provider Bridging over MPLS • Provider BackboneBridging over MPLS NAT Access SessionController Cluster PON SessionController Cluster(ISP) ETTx IPv4/v6 ServingGateway PDNGateway eNB, RNC, .. Access Aggregation Edge CPE Source: Frank Brockners, NSSTG, 9/2008

  23. References • Mobility_Board_SPBC_Preso_0825 2008-Sep-22 | wwwin.cisco.com/cisco/councils/spbc/pdf/Mobility_Board_SPBC_Preso_0825_FINAL external.pdf

  24. STRATEGY VISION • Understand partner & customer vision & strategy • Provide an evolutionary approach to final goal • Define standards strategy to maximize solution adoption • Define clear insertion strategy Be the trusted mobile communications provider/advisor to enterprises, small businesses and service providers (??) Create the mobilized Internet architecture EXECUTION • Document high level mobile architecture vision • Sub-teams to document component requirements • Leverage internal & external test beds Mobile Access: Anything, Anytime, AnywhereVision-Strategy-Execution (Draft Slide, 10/2008) (sic) Source: P Calhoun, J Baker, CTO Mobility Working Group, 10/2008

  25. B A C K U P

  26. Internet GGSN WLC ASN Gaétan’s diagram Connection Manager Dynamically Selects Best Connection Service • Objective: Continuous optimal selection of best available connectivity • Assumption/Criteria: Solution is independent of Link Layer ISG MobileClientDevice 3G Home Agent Connection Manager WiFi WiMAX ASN: Access Service Network Gateway GGSN: Gateway GPRS Support Node (2G & 3G) GPRS: General Packet Radio Service ("2.5G“) ISG: Intelligent Service Gateway WLC: Wireless LAN Controller • Select from any available service • Provide seamless handoff & uninterrupted continuity

  27. Rough Market Segmentation: Users vs. Bandwidth • High-end applications will require sophisticated services • Expectations for seamless continuity & session persistence High function client devices Data Consumption per Device • Apps • Video • Voice, Text, Photo High • Lower function client devices • Lower cost • Lower barrier to adding network services • Voice • Text • Photo Low Numbers of Users Fewer/Moderate Large/Huge

  28. Worldwide Mobile Backhaul Connections: IP and Pseudowire Growth The IP portion of installed base of mobile backhaul (Ethernet fiber and copper, Ethernet microwave, DSL, PON, WiMAX) grows rather dramatically from 2008 to 2011 as seen in the chart; only a fraction of the connections being deployed in 2008 are pseudowire enabled, as many hybrid IP connections are for data only, and do not require more than best efforts; a majority of major operators are planning to use pseudowire either for carrying PDH voice traffic (on IP or ATM pseudowires) or for separating 2G and 3G traffic, so the pseudowire proportion increases quickly through 2011 Source: Infonetics Research, Inc., Mobile Backhaul Equipment, Installed Base, and Services, April 21, 2008

  29. Worldwide Mobile Backhaul New Connections by Technology: Ethernet Surging Connections (K) We can see numbers of new backhaul connections deployed in each year in the chart; we can see the increasing numbers of Ethernet and Ethernet microwave versus not only the decreasing numbers of legacy TDM types, but beginning in 2010, the de-commissioning of legacy connections superseded by new types of connections; the de-commissioning is due to connections not using the hybrid approach, but using IP backhaul as the only backhaul to carry voice, data, and video traffic for 2G, 3G, WiMAX, and LTE Source: Infonetics Research, Inc., Mobile Backhaul Equipment, Installed Base, and Services, April 21, 2008

  30. Speed vs. Mobility of Wireless Systems: Wi-Fi, HSPA, UMTS, GSM Representative? Source: Wikipedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WiMax

  31. Clocking Timing for mobile voice traffic • IEEE 1588v2 Precision Time Protocol (PTP) • PTP clock types: • Boundary clock (BC) • Ordinary clock (OC) • Transparent clock (TC) • Synchronous Ethernet (SyncE) Helpful: Overview of IEEE 1588 V2, pdf (ppt), 89 slides, 2008-09-24www.ieee802.org/1/files/public/docs2008/as-garner-1588v2-summary-0908.pdf

  32. L2VPN CompetitiveRAN Transport / Ethernet Services Mobile Backhaul • CP-17447VPLS Inter-AS -- Option B 12.2SRF • CP-17927Dynamic Placement of MS-PWs (PW Routing) - 7600 12.2SRF • CP-30082Hot Standby Pseudowire 12.2SRF VPLS (Wide Area Ethernet) Services • CP-33034H-VPLS Autodiscovery, BGP-based 12.2SRF • CP-30461HA Support for VPLS Autodiscovery 12.2SRF

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