1 / 9

Adaptation Capacity How can it be strengthened?

Adaptation Capacity How can it be strengthened?. Preserve current “adequate” and improve it. in the context of:. Current climate, climate change, (and possible changes in climate variability). Socioeconomic current conditions and trends.

nevada-mcfarland
Télécharger la présentation

Adaptation Capacity How can it be strengthened?

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Adaptation CapacityHow can it be strengthened? Preserve current “adequate” and improve it in the context of: Current climate, climate change, (and possible changes in climate variability) Socioeconomic current conditions and trends Sustainable development policy (Compromise: Equity; no - regrets).

  2. Preserve and Improve • Forecasts, Climate information and warning systems Climate must be one element in decision making (as info in new seeds, or new technology) of stakeholders, policy makers in the priority regions/sectors. • Flexibility: possibility to choose on a set of adaptation measures • Inter: disciplinary, sectorial, institutional collaboration

  3. Preserve and Improve • Financial and human resources • Technology and infrastructure • Institutions, responsibility and effectiveness • Organizational capacity • Integrated national/regional/local actions

  4. .Adaptation Capacity. (V. 9. Pag. 33, AFP) Other constraints ($, skills, info, alternative choices, social / legal inaccurate estimation risks, short term gains preferred) : * Conflicts between adaptation measures. Sectors (industy - agriculture - livestock- forestry), regions (N -S, urban - rural, countries) * Lack of confidence in government or scientific proposals Bridge: empirical (traditional,local) vs. Scientific knowledge; Social vs natural sciences; ...

  5. AFP page 33 Communities Tlaxcala Project Lack of financial resources or access to credit Community solidarity as a tradition. Shared costs between family or community Financial resources from. Universities (U), Government agencies (G), producers (P). Lack of skills, training, access to technology Rich traditional knowledge of crop managements, seeds, environment > 9 workshops between U, G, P. Meetings and conferences in counties to describe forecast and discussion of possible alternatives Lack of information Oral tradition, confidence in the elders or leaders Open databases, access to community members for surveys. Results presented in brochures. Conferences to younger students

  6. AFP page 33 Communities Tlaxcala Project Lack of alternative choices Resistance to change. Bad previous experiences with change (seeds, pesticides, etc), incentives for adoption of alternatives that conflict with risk management priorities of farmers Poorer farmers have made almost all the possible adaptations they could. Successful experience in 1998 showed that the forecast should be delivered with crop and financial possibilities Incorrect or inaccurate estimates of risk Traditional forecasting methods are many times incorrect, but does not affect “business as usual” practices. The first forecast 1998: very accurate. The other two forecasts where not that good but did not had a negative impact in the farmers interest. Anchored in 1998 impression? Short term gains may be preferred to long term security Short gains have meant security for many years Changes in crops (maize to oats) was a one - year success. It was not repeated the next years. U. of Tlaxcala: experiments on alternative crop production, using climate information before planting

  7. Country Study, Phase II: Tlaxcala State. Case Study Smallest State in the Country Densely Populated (4 times National Average) Population Growth of 3.2 % (>1.2% National Average) >> Soil Erosion << Water Availability * Agriculture occupies 84% of state’s land area; Rainfed: 92%; Maize Production: 53%; Averaged Yields: 2 ton/Ha 85% land units have less than 5 Ha Rainfed Maize Production in Spring -Summer season

  8. Government National Institute of Ecology – Minister of Environment, Natural Resources and Fisheries (INE – SEMARNAP) Federal National Institute for Forests and Agriculture Research – Tlaxcala (INIFAP - Tlaxcala) State Producers Produce A.C.- TlaxcalaPrivate Rural Development Public Universities Center for Atmospheric Sciences, UNAM National Center for Biological Sciences Research UATState Atmospheric Physics, Biology, Geography Biology - Agronomy Tlaxcala Project Organization

More Related