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Typhoon Climate Services

Typhoon Climate Services. 1. Deliverables: 1. China Typhoon landfall catalogue 2. Landfall event generator 3. Seasonal forecasts. 1. China Typhoon Landfall Catalogue. 540 Typhoons, 1949-2016 Latitude Longitude Minimum pressure Maximum wind speed Radius 33 m/s Radius 26 m/s

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Typhoon Climate Services

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  1. Typhoon Climate Services 1 Deliverables: 1. China Typhoon landfall catalogue 2. Landfall event generator 3. Seasonal forecasts

  2. 1. China Typhoon Landfall Catalogue 540 Typhoons, 1949-2016 Latitude Longitude Minimum pressure Maximum wind speed Radius 33 m/s Radius 26 m/s Radius 18 m/s Integrated kinetic energy Rain rate within 500 km

  3. 2. Stochastic typhoon landfall generator • Poisson landfall frequency • Intensity lognormal • Intensity mean/std f (lat.) • Size f (intensity and lat.) • Rainfall (intensity and size )

  4. Landfall Typhoon simulation

  5. Hong Kong

  6. 3. Typhoon Seasonal Forecast (last 12 months) • Statistical • Dynamical

  7. Outreach • Catalogue and description on oasishub (Knowledge centre ?) • Event generator and desription on oassihub (Knowledge centre ?) • All free and open source • Bank of England (Insurance regulator): willing to ‘advertise’ outcomes and products to their newsletter & climate change scenario creation for the market & physical cause of clustering • Swiss Re : 5 year outlook

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