“Cutting Carbs in the Transportation Sector”

1. “Cutting Carbs in the Transportation Sector” California ITS Annual Meeting December 2008 David Lively Office of System Management Planning California Department of Transportation

2. CaliforniaEnvironmental Stewardship • Long-standing reputation for leadership in environmental protection. • New level of commitment to environmental stewardship. • New intensity and focus on reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.

3. California’s View on Climate Change • Concern with real impact of changing climate on the socioeconomic viability and natural resources of the state. • Increased risk for public health. • The costs of inaction significantly out weights the cost of mitigating greenhouse gases. • Policies that protect the climate have multiple benefits.

4. State’s Role in Climate Change • Global warming requires a concerted effort at the national and international levels. • States and regions can be instrumental in developing models and lay the ground for broader action.

5. California Climate Initiatives • SB 527: Established the California Climate Action Registry to certify GHG emissions. • AB 1497: Fleet Average Emission Standards. Vehicle Emissions Standards:CA is trying to obtain a U.S. EPA waiver to allow California to implement its stringent tailpipe emissions standards signed into law in 2002. • ·Executive Order S-3-05:Established GHG emission reduction targets and the Climate Action Team. • ·   1990 levels by 2020 (25% below business as usual) • ·   80% below 1990 levels by 2050. • ·AB 32: The Global Warming • Solutions Act of 2006:Establishing a • first-in-the-world comprehensive program of regulatory and • market mechanisms to achieve real,quantifiable, cost-effective reductions of greenhouse gases. • ·Executive Order S-20-06: Directs State agencies to implement AB 32. • Low Carbon Fuel Standard • * Not a comprehensive list of initiatives.

6. State Climate Action PlanGHG Reduction Estimates by Different Elements2020 Target • Total Reduction of 174 MMT of GHG by 2020, or • Restoring emissions level to 1990

7. California 2004 Emissionsby Sector(480 MMT CO2E) Transportation 38%

8. Transportation Contribution 50-60 MMT Reduction from Transportation, about 30% Early Actions 42 MMT Adopted Strategies 30 MMT Scoping Plan 102 MMT GHG Reduction Plan 174 MMT

9. The Role of Transportation Caltrans is playing significant role in supporting California’s Climate Action Program (AB 32 and Gov.’s Initiative). Caltrans Believes: It is possible to reduce GHG emissions while expanding and creating an efficient and effective transportation system.

10. California Department of TransportationClimate Action Program Long Term: concern with the vulnerability of transportation facilities and adaptation measures due to climate change. San Francisco - Oakland Bay Area – One meter sea level rise scenario Land Slide - Humboldt County, CA, State Highway 96

11. California Department of TransportationClimate Action Program Short Term: concern with the impact of transportation on climate and mitigation measures.

12. California Department of TransportationClimate Action Program Objective: ·   Stabilize CO2 Emission from Transportation Approach: ·   Vehicle and Fuel Technology ·   Transportation System Efficiency ·   Greening and Resource Conservation

13. GHG Reduction PremiseTransportation Systems & OperationsPotential CO2 Saving Capacity - 2020 Targets • Technology Systems: • Fuel & Vehicle Technology • 25% – 35% • Infrastructure: • Highway & Roadway Network • Alternative modes & Networks • Freight and Ports • Urban Design/Land Use • 10% - 15% • People/Community: • Driving Behavior • Modal Preference • Vehicle Purchase Behavior • Housing/Job Location Preferences • Conservation Greening & Resource Conservation: 5% - 10%

14. Technology is Important Transportation nearly entirely depends on fossil fuel (97%). Direct combustion of fuels accounts for 2/3 of primary energy use & GHG emissions. Number of vehicles projected to triple by 2050.

15. Fuel and Vehicle Technology • Fortunately, emerging technologies can help meet the climate challenge. • Greater vehicle fuel economy (CAFÉ). • Introduction of new fuel and vehicle types (i.e. biofuels, electricity, hydrogen, fossil fuel/low carbon). • Combination of both fuel and vehicle changes (i.e. more efficient hybrid vehicles).

16. California’s Motor Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emissions Regulations: Overview

17. Transportation System Efficiency • Institutional change – Integrating GHG reduction measures into transportation investment decisions (mainstreaming). • 2) Strategic Planning: Multi Modal, Performance-Based • Short • Term: • Long • Term: VMT/CO2 Management • Congestion Relief • Operational Improvements/ITS • Alternative Modes • Demand Management • Urban Design/Land Use VMT Reduction

18. Governor’s Strategic Growth Plan $107 billion transportation infrastructure investment The SGP Targets: Performance-Based ·  Significant decrease in congestion below today’s levels ·  600 miles new commuter lines ·  150% increase in intercity rail ridership ·  310,000 more transit ridership ·  550 new HOV lanes miles ·  750 new highway lane miles ·  8500 miles of separated bike and pedestrian paths

19. Resource Conservation“Greening Initiative” Reducing GHG Emissions through Greening and Energy Efficiency • Cement Standard/ Concrete Mix • HWY Lighting • Green Building • Landscaping

20. 600 400 200 GHG Stabilization Wedges SGP & Greening 18.7 MMT Projected CO2 CO2 (MMT) Fuel Technology 40 - 50 MMT YEAR

21. “Cutting Carbs in the Transportation Sector” California ITS Annual Meeting December 2008 David Lively Office of System Management Planning California Department of Transportation