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IAFS 1000 Nuclear Proliferation

This document covers various aspects of nuclear proliferation, the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), and the ongoing challenges faced by the international community. Key topics include the history and evolution of the NPT since its inception in 1970, the unique case of South Africa giving up its nuclear arsenal, and the arguments surrounding the benefits and drawbacks of nuclear proliferation for global stability and deterrence. The text also highlights notable nations and groups involved in nuclear development and the implications for international security.

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IAFS 1000 Nuclear Proliferation

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  1. IAFS 1000Nuclear Proliferation

  2. Announcements • China Town Hall: 29 Oct 2012, 5:30pm, C4C, 3rd floor, Abrams Lounge • Ganguly and Kapur: link posted on course website, read for Wednesday

  3. Nuclear Spread: Dirty Bombs Earliest Incident of Radiological Terror: Moscow, 1995 http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/dirtybomb/chrono.html

  4. Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) • 1970: Entered into force • 1995: Indefinitely extended • 2010: Reviewed and extended til 2015 • Non-parties: India, Pakistan, Israel, and North Korea

  5. NPT Obligations • Limits on transfer of nuclear weapons/info by nuclear weapon states (NWS) • Limits on acquisition of nuclear weapons by non-nuclear weapon states (NNWS) • NNWS’ peaceful nuclear material under Intl Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards • Exchange of info on peaceful use • Disarmament

  6. State Proliferation • Iran • North Korea • South Africa: unique in giving up its nuclear arsenal

  7. Nuclear Proliferation is aGood Thing • Deterrence leads to stability • More nukes means less nuclear blackmail • More nukes means first strike fears are minimized (playing field is level)

  8. http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/45635000/gif/_45635639_world_nuc_warhds_466.gifhttp://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/45635000/gif/_45635639_world_nuc_warhds_466.gif

  9. Nuclear Proliferation is aGood Thing (cont) • Protection against US military hegemony • Basic fairness, prestige • NPT unjust and ineffective

  10. States that Began to Develop Nuclear Programs Indonesia Argentina Brazil South Africa Sweden Australia

  11. North Korea • 1993: First announced withdrawal from NPT • 1994: Withdrew from IAEA • 2003: Finally withdrew from NPT • NPT membership a boon to proliferation?

  12. Nuclear Proliferation is aGood Thing (cont) • Acknowledges reality that we lack effective controls • Tactical nukes erode nuclear taboo anyway • Real danger posed by non-state groups

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