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In September 2012, the Riksbank cut the repo rate to counteract anticipated low inflation and address ongoing unease in financial markets. This adjustment aims to stabilize the Swedish economy amid weak growth trends, particularly in the euro area. Despite these challenges, the Swedish economy remains relatively strong with good productivity growth. However, lower inflationary pressure is expected in the coming period, reflecting a complex interplay of domestic and international economic factors. The repo rate adjustments are crucial in guiding future monetary policy.
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Repo rate cut Counteracts low inflation ahead
Continued unease on financial markets Source: Reuters EcoWin Government bond rates with 10 years left to maturity, per cent
Structural problems in Europe Unitlabourcost Index, 1999 = 100 Source: OECD
Weak developments in euro area GDP, annualpercentagechange Sources: Bureau ofEconomicAnalysis, Eurostat and the Riksbank
Swedish economy relatively strong GDP, quarterly changes in per cent calculated as an annual rate, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Growth dampened in coming period Source: National InstituteofEconomic Research Index, average = 100, standard deviation = 10
Stronger krona Source: The Riksbank Competition-weighted nominal exchange rate, TCW, Index, 18 Nov 1992 = 100
Labour market in line with expectations Per cent of the labour force, aged 15-74, quarterly data, seasonallyadjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Lower inflationary pressure • Weakgrowth in the coming period • Goodproductivitygrowth • Stronger krona
Lower repo rate Repo rate, per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank
Inflation rising towards the target Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Annualpercentagechange. The CPIF is the CPI with a fixedmortgage rate
A forecast, not a promise Repo rate, per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank
Repo rate cut Counteracts low inflation ahead