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This comprehensive report by Jeremy Richardson from the Union of Concerned Scientists explores sustainable economic development in West Virginia, focusing on non-mining counties in both Northern and Southern regions. It addresses critical questions about the future of coal production, employment trends in the mining sector, and regional vulnerabilities to economic shifts. The study considers various pressures on coal, including low natural gas prices, environmental regulations, and competition from renewables. Additionally, the report analyzes employment and output impacts through multi-regional modeling to provide a clearer picture of West Virginia's economic landscape.
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#WVBrightFuture A BRIGHT ECONOMIC FUTURE FOR THE MOUNTAIN STATE
A Roadmap for Sustainable Economic Development in West Virginia L. Jeremy Richardson Union of Concerned Scientists
Study Areas Northern WV: 29 Northern App counties Non-Mining counties Southern WV: Central App counties
Questions? JRichardson@ucsusa.org
Research Questions • What factors will impact coal production in the coming decade, and how will WV be affected? • What are the employment trends in the mining industry for the state? • How are different parts of WV (which mine different types of coal) vulnerable to these changes?
Pressures on Coal • Low Natural Gas Prices • Environmental Regulations • Declining Productivity • Competition with Other Regions • Competition with Renewables and Efficiency • Economic Recession and Excess Capacity • Climate Change Policy
Methods • Considered different EIA scenarios for coal production through 2020 • Estimated WV production based on average from previous three years • Conducted multi-regional analysis using an input-output model to gauge employment and output impacts