Integrating Rural Household Surveys

1. Integrating Rural Household Surveys November, 2004 Fred Vogel The World Bank

2. Overview/purpose of paper • “Encourage international and national statistical organizations to join forces in integrating their data requirements into a sustainable statistical system” • “Provide framework to integrate agricultural and rural statistics centered on the household as the unit of measure”

3. Why is this important? • United Nations Millennium Declaration of 2000 • Commitment to the eradication of poverty, to sustainable human development, to gender equality, right to development-- • Adopted by 147 heads of states and 189 states • 8 Millennium Development Goals • MDG’s

4. What are the MDGs ? • Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger • Achieve Universal Primary Education • Promote Gender Equality • Reduce Child Mortality • Improve Maternal Health • Combat HIV/Aids, other diseases • Ensure Environmental Sustainability • Develop Global Partnership for Development

5. Why should we be interestedin MDG’s ??? Why should millennium goals be a concern at a conference on Agricultural and Rural Statistics???

6. The Reality • “Three quarters of world’s poor live in rural areas of developing countries depending on agriculture for livelihood” (report of UN Secretary-General 02/04/2003)

7. The Issues • What actions needed to make progress towards meeting the goals? • How monitor the progress? • How determine which actions made a difference? • How know when the goals are met?

8. The Challenge • Define the problem • Determine the indicators • Evaluate the indicators via statistical measurements • Establish sustainable statistical system to repeat measurements over time

9. What has been done? • 8 goals—MDG/s • 18 targets--examples • Halve the proportion of people whose income is less that one dollar a day (PPP) • Halve prop suffering from hunger • Eliminate gender disparity in education • 50 +indicators

10. What is being done? • Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys • UNICEF sponsored household surveys • situation of women and children • Demographic and Health Surveys • USAID sponsored household surveys • Health/nutrition of women & Children • Living Standard Measurement Surveys • World Bank sponsored household surveys • Measure and understand poverty

11. What is being done? • Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys • UNICEF sponsored household surveys • situation of women and children • Demographic and Health Surveys • USAID sponsored household surveys • Health/nutrition of women & Children • Living Standard Measurement Surveys • World Bank sponsored household surveys • Measure and understand poverty Note these are Household Surveys

12. So,What is the Problem? • Most Measures at National Level • Need at rural level • Data available on periodic basis • Each only measure part of problem • Lack of Statistical Capacity in countries • Periodic efforts by international agencies not adding to SUSTAINABLE statistical capacity

13. What Else is the Problem ? • Agricultural statistics focus on farms and production • Agricultural statistics not integrated with other national and international statistical systems and needs • Resource problems—national governments struggle to meet different statistical needs

14. What do About It? • Look at major uses of statistics and connect them with MDG indicators • Facilitate Policy • Income, employment, health, education, equality, and sustain the environment • Enhance Investment • Infrastructure, health, education • Promote Efficient Markets • Food security vs marketing surplus/more income

15. What Else Do About It? • Identify major users/donors of statistical system • International organizations • National ministries • Collectively, jointly assess their needs/resources • Agree on framework of cooperation

16. And?????? • Recognize that the core statistics needed by all can best be provided by a system of household surveys • Why? Because that is how the independent needs are now being met • Recognize the need to improve statistical capacity and put it on a sustainable footing

17. How Get Started? • Seek to integrate core economic, social, demographic indicators in national statistical system with those to monitor progress toward meeting MDG’s • Recognize do not need all data all of the time • Recognize data requirements are related • Recognize some things change faster than others • Recognize some things need more detail

18. Frequency and Level of Geographic Detail

19. Putting It Together • Core Statistics • Need annually because change rapidly • Needed for short term policies • Supplemental • Needed less frequently, but need to understand how related to other economic, social, demographic issues

20. Model for Data Integration MDG 1. Poverty, Hunger, MDGs 4,5,&6 Health Core Statistics MDGs 2 and 3 education employment/ - MDG 7,&8 Environment Development

21. Model for Data Integration MDG 1. Poverty, Hunger MDGs 4,5,&6 Health Core and related Statistics—Household as Unit of measure provides analytical Framework across issues MDGs 2 and 3 education employment MDG 7, 8 Environment Development

22. How Connect over Time? • Replicated Sample • Annually Survey Core items plus one group of MDG indicators • Provide linkage between indicators • Annual statistical survey • Improve statistical capacity • Improve sustainability of statistical capacity

23. Core every Year plus a detailed Q • MDG 1 • MDG 2&3 • MDG 4,5&6 • MDG 7

24. Is this possible? • Depends on the will of the international and national statistical organizations • Depends on ability to agree and cooperate • Depends on national statistical system to want to build sustainable statistical capacity.

25. The World of Statistics Thanks for listening—questions ??????????