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Statistical and Forecasting Committee LEAD AND ZINC MARKET OUTLOOK FOR 2007 AND 2008

Statistical and Forecasting Committee LEAD AND ZINC MARKET OUTLOOK FOR 2007 AND 2008. Paul White Head of Forecasting and Statistics, ILZSG 4 October 2007, Lisbon. Further Zinc Industry Consolidation in 2007.

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Statistical and Forecasting Committee LEAD AND ZINC MARKET OUTLOOK FOR 2007 AND 2008

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  1. Statistical and Forecasting CommitteeLEAD AND ZINC MARKET OUTLOOKFOR 2007 AND 2008 Paul White Head of Forecasting and Statistics, ILZSG 4 October 2007, Lisbon

  2. Further Zinc Industry Consolidation in 2007 • Umicore and Zinifex zinc smelting and alloying businesses merged to form world’s largest producer of zinc metal, Nyrstar International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  3. Lead Stocks and Prices International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  4. World Lead Metal Usage Annual Change: • 2007 +4.1% • 2008 +4.1% International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  5. Chinese Lead Demand Growth • Increases in vehicle production and population • Electric bicycles • Rising demand for back-up power • Battery exports International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  6. Lead Demand Growth - China vs Rest of the World 2002-2008f International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  7. World Lead Mine Output Annual Change: • 2007 +5.5% • 2008 +10.4% International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  8. World Lead Mine Output • Opening of San Cristobal, Bolivia • Increases in China, Macedonia, Portugal, Russia, Sweden • Australian output affected by Magellan closure International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  9. World Lead Metal Output Annual Change: • 2007 +3.9% • 2008 +5.4% International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  10. World Lead Metal Output • New plants in Henan and Inner Mongolia, China • Higher production in Canada, Russia, U.K. and U.S. International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  11. Chinese Lead Trade International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  12. Lead Metal World Balance International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  13. Zinc Stocks and Prices International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  14. World Zinc Metal Usage Annual Change: • 2007 +3.0 % • 2008 +5.1 % International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  15. Zinc Demand Growth - China vs Rest of the World 2002-2008f International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  16. China’s Infrastructure Requirements Source: China Metals International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  17. World Zinc Mine Output Annual Change: • 2007 +7.4% • 2008 +9. 5% International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  18. World Zinc Mine Output • San Cristobal in Bolivia is 8th largest zinc mine in world • Number of new operations in Australia and Canada in 2007 and 2008 • Higher output at Antamina, Peru • Increases in China, Brazil, India, Ireland, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, Mexico, Portugal, U.S. and others International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  19. World Zinc Metal Output Annual Change: • 2007 +5.9% • 2008 +7.8% International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  20. World Zinc Metal Output • 2nd 170mt plant to open at Chanderiya, India • Higher European output • Modified Big River Zinc in U.S. to reopen in 2008 • Increases in Australia, Kazakhstan, Korea, Mexico and Thailand International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  21. Chinese Zinc Trade International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  22. Zinc Metal World Balance International Lead and Zinc Study Group

  23. Statistical and Forecasting CommitteeLEAD AND ZINC MARKET OUTLOOKFOR 2007 AND 2008 Paul White Head of Forecasting and Statistics, ILZSG 4 October 2007, Lisbon

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