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Geopolitical forecast : natural gas 2020

Conference “The Future of Natural gas”. Geopolitical forecast : natural gas 2020. 26 March 20 14. Summary.

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Geopolitical forecast : natural gas 2020

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  1. Conference “The Future of Natural gas” Geopolitical forecast: natural gas 2020 26 March2014

  2. Summary In the world the production of conventional gas from new fields will increase sharply, chiefly in sea areas; the shale gas revolution will change the composition and structure of manufacturers and consumers; many new gas pipelines, liquefaction and regasification terminals will facilitate and diversify gas supplies; Iran and Iraq will restore their positions as gas exporters; the influence of the spot market on the price of supplies will increase; the role of Russia and Turkey as actors in the gas market will diminish. The European Union will attain its strategic goals for energy security: sufficient quantity of gas for the community, extracted locally and imported; diversification of external suppliers; diversity of transportation means; integrated gas infrastructure for the 28 EU states. In Bulgaria the share of natural gas in the country’s energy consumption will increase considerably as that fuel has much higher efficiency than electricity and is environmentally friendly. That will improve the energy efficiency and competitiveness of Bulgarian economy .

  3. Gas production in the world by countries and regions * In billions of m3 2000 2012 2018 (red) Russia (grey) USA (green) Western Europe (yellow) Caspian region (blue) Other countries

  4. Natural gas production from the Caspian region * In billions of m3 1200

  5. Natural gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean * In billions of m3

  6. Natural gas fields in the Back Sea * In billions of m3

  7. Shale gas basins in the world, May 2013 in red – estimated reserves in yellow – localized reserves

  8. New gas pipelines to/in Europe by 2020

  9. LNG re-gasification terminals in Europe 19 operating • 12under construction

  10. LNG re-gasification terminals in SEE by 2020 • Revitusa • Aliaga • Marmara- Ereglisi • Alexandropulis • Krk • Constanta • Saros • Crete

  11. LNG terminals under construction in USA for export of natural gas Liquefaction terminals

  12. Bulgaria in “Connected Europe2020“ Projects of interconnectors between Bulgaria and neighboring countries

  13. Risk Management Laboratory Thank you for your attention site: www.riskmanagementlab.com e-mail: riskmlab@nbu.bg

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