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The Future of the Microprocessor Business

Discover the evolution of microprocessors from their early beginnings with relays to the current fourth generation based on integrated circuits. This analysis covers the three initial generations of computers, highlighting key technologies like electron tubes and transistors, leading up to the present VLSI era. Looking ahead, the impact of Moore's Law is discussed, including the challenges of miniaturization as we approach physical limits in transistor size. Join Antonín Daněk from CTU-FEE as he explores what lies ahead for the microprocessor industry.

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The Future of the Microprocessor Business

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  1. The Future of the Microprocessor Business Antonín Daněk CTU – FEE – STM - WaM ad@4td.cz

  2. Structure • The past - first three generations of computers • The presence - fourth generation of computers • The future - What will come next? Antonín Daněk - 4TD.cz

  3. The past - first three generations of computers • Generation zero : 1940 : Relay • 1 -10 operation/ second • Generation one : 1945 : Electron tube • 100 - 1000 operations / second Antonín Daněk - 4TD.cz

  4. The past - first three generations of computers • Generation two : 1956: Transistor • thousands operations / second • much smaller computers • Generation three : 1964: Integrated Circuit (IC) • tens of thousands operations / second • parallel usage Antonín Daněk - 4TD.cz

  5. The presence - fourth generation ofcomputers • Generation four : 1981 – now • Integrated Circuit • VLSI - Very-large-scale integration • Parameters • Tens of millions operations / second • Processor itself fits into few square centimeters Antonín Daněk - 4TD.cz

  6. The future - What will come next? • Moors law – Every 18 months, the number of transistors in ICs will be doubled. Antonín Daněk - 4TD.cz

  7. The future - What will come next? • Current: 65 nm, 45 nm • 32 nm – should be on stores soon • 22 nm - 2011–2012 • 16 nm – 2018 • 11 nm – 2022 • The smaller technology, the more transistors fit on a smaller space. • ICs have its’ borders. It is not possible to make transistors smaller to infinity. Antonín Daněk - 4TD.cz

  8. The Future of the Microprocessor Business Antonín Daněk CTU – FEE – STM - WaM ad@4td.cz ? ? Sources: You know, I’ve downloaded some stuff from the internet.

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