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Community College Enrollment Analysis and Projections: Manchester Community College Master Plan

This educational master plan examines enrollment data and projections for Manchester Community College, focusing on participation rates at national and local levels. Factors affecting participation rates are analyzed, including employment trends, tuition costs, and student demographics. The plan outlines strategies for recruitment, retention, and growth, considering both macro and micro-level influences. Mapping data and correlations are used to inform decision-making.

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Community College Enrollment Analysis and Projections: Manchester Community College Master Plan

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  1. Educational Master PlanManchester Community College Enrollment Analysis and Projections

  2. Participation Rates National Public CC Participation rate: 2.22% Participation Rates = % of population from a defined area enrolled in a community college (credit courses). Connecticut Public Community College Fall 2009 Participation Rate: 55,112 = .01566 or 1.57% 3,518,288 Primary Service Area Secondary Service Area

  3. Participation Rates 1% to 1.49% 0.5% to .99% 1.5% to 2% Less than 0.5%

  4. GIS Mapping – Fall 2010 Students Each Red Dot Represents an MCC Students Home Address

  5. GIS Mapping – Fall 2010 Students Each Red Dot Represents an MCC Students Home Address

  6. Factors Impacting Participation Rates • Macro Level • Employment Rate – 18-24 year olds have lowest level of employment since 1948 (Pew Research) • Out Migration - % of Student Leaving the State • Tuition and Fees compared to State Average • Rate of High School Completion (1967- 75.5% vs. 2008- 84.9%) • Student Goals • Micro Level • Number of Campuses and Sites • Size of Distance Education Programs • Retention and Student Success Strategies • Targeted Recruitment Strategies • Older Adult Market • At-Risk Students • High School/Technical Schools

  7. Correlation: The strength of the relationship between two or more variables -1 perfect negative correlation ----- 0 = No correlation ----- +1 perfect positive correlation Primary Service Area Correlation = 0.877 Secondary Service Area Correlation = 0.751

  8. AACC notes that the recession spiked community college enrollments by approximately 18% nationally Recessionary Periods in U.S. History Source: American Association for Community Colleges

  9. Unemployment below 4.0% Single Site Current Program, Recruitment, Retention Strategies Unemployment 4% to 5% Focused strategies and initiatives Takes into account population growth Unemployment above 5% Additional Site/Center Increased number of on-line students Expanded programs/Marketing efforts

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