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February – May 2014 Procurement DWSG Presentation

This presentation reviews the procurement activities and capacity demand curve for February to May 2014. It includes data on the hourly load forecast, monthly temperature projections, and risk factor assignments used for budget evaluations. The report highlights resources procured, clearing prices, and distinguishes between business and non-business hours procurement. Additionally, it covers the expenditure limits and contracts during the specified period and assesses the implications of temperature fluctuations and potential demand peaks on resource allocation.

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February – May 2014 Procurement DWSG Presentation

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  1. February – May 2014 ProcurementDWSG Presentation

  2. ERS Capacity Demand Curve $/MW/Hr Expenditure Limit Capacity Demand Curve Offer Cap Capacity Inflection Point MW DSWG

  3. Expenditure Limit Allocation Table DSWG

  4. Risk Factor Evaluation Information Used • Hourly load forecast by ERS time period • Monthly weather (temperature) projections • Available SARA’s Initial Risk Factor Assignments for 2014 ERS Budget Year • 10’s assigned to BH2 and BH3 in the Jun-Sep to cover summer peak • 5’s assigned to the BH1 time period in both the Feb-May and Oct-Jan due to the potential wind ramps in the early mornings and winter peaking hours.  • 3s assigned to both BH2 and BH3 in the Feb-May to cover the potential for an early heat spell. • 1’s assigned to all NBH until the time periods and SCTs can be realigned to match up with the winter peaking hours. DSWG

  5. Business Hours 1 Procurement - FebMay14 Clearing Price: $16.70 MW Procured: 772.230 MW Not Procured: 0 Resources Procured: 533 Resources Not Procured: 0 DSWG

  6. Business Hours 2 Procurement - FebMay14 Clearing Price: $10.71 MW Procured: 732.970 MW Not Procured: 47.675 Resources Procured: 494 Resources Not Procured: 42 DSWG

  7. Business Hours 3 Procurement - FebMay14 Clearing Price: $10.71 MW Procured: 716.630 MW Not Procured: 44.100 Resources Procured: 468 Resources Not Procured: 41 DSWG

  8. Non Business Hours Procurement - FebMay14 Clearing Price: $3.90 MW Procured: 615.435 MW Not Procured: 64.080 Resources Procured: 422 Resources Not Procured: 50 DSWG

  9. Capacity Procurement (Including both ERS-10 and ERS-30) DSWG

  10. BH1 - Average Price vs Clearing Price DSWG

  11. BH2 - Average Price vs Clearing Price DSWG

  12. BH3 - Average Price vs Clearing Price DSWG

  13. NBH - Average Price vs Clearing Price DSWG

  14. Standard Contract Term Cost DSWG

  15. Standard Contract Term Cost DSWG

  16. Total Spent for the FebMay14 Standard Contract Period DSWG

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