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Under contract with the European Environment Agency. Use of FOD for estimation of methane emissions from municipal solid waste in the EU25: ‘Outlooks’. Alejandro Villanueva etcw-av@mst.dk European Topic Centre on Resources and Waste Management. What is the goal of the ’outlooks’ project?.
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Under contract with the European Environment Agency Use of FOD for estimation of methane emissions from municipal solid waste in the EU25: ‘Outlooks’ Alejandro Villanuevaetcw-av@mst.dkEuropean Topic Centre on Resources and Waste Management
Under contract with the European Environment Agency Outline 1.Background for the projections What information did we use to estimate CH4 generation from landfills? • IPCC methodology • MSW only! 2. Key parameters • Activity data: • Composition of the landfilled waste • Amounts landfilled: 1950-1990 and 1990-2005 • Methane recovery ratios • IPCC methane oxidation parameters: MCF & OX 3. Future work
Background for the projections • FOD vs massbalance - food waste
Background for the projections • FOD vs massbalance - wood waste
Background for the projections • FOD vs massbalance: 15-35 years back needed
Background for the projections • FOD • A modification of the draft IPCC spreadsheet
Background for the projections • FOD • A modification of the IPCC spreadsheet • Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) only ! The reason: An econometric model has been developed in the ETC/RWM, but for MSW only
Under contract with the European Environment Agency Treatment Origin Waste fraction Mech-Biol. Treatment In MSW (contains 20-50% biowaste and 10-25%paper) Households Recycling (incl. composting) Source - Separated fractions: Markets, commerce and offices Biowaste L a n d f i l l i n g Agriculture Wood Paper Incineration Park and garden waste Stabilisation (composting, AD) Sewage sludge Sewage sludge Export ? Industrial biowaste ? Industry Biodegradable waste amounts captured
Under contract with the European Environment Agency 4 Key parameters • Activity data: • Composition of the landfilled waste • Amounts landfilled: 1950-1990, 1990-2005, and 2005 -2020 • Methane recovery ratio • Oxidation rates: MCF & OX
1. Composition of the landfilled waste • Typically in reports from national research institutions / consultants
DATA CERTAINTY LANDFILLED WASTE COMPOSITION 1 WASTE AMOUNTS 2 % TO LANDFILL 3 CH4 RECOVERY OXIDATION IN THE LANDFILL (MCF, OX) 4 2015 1955 2005 2025 1965 1995 2035 1975 1985
2. Amounts landfilled 2.1 Total amounts generated
2. Amounts landfilled 2.2 Percentage of MSW to landfill
Under contract with the European Environment Agency 1999: Directive enters into force 68 % 75 % 50 % 35 % OBS!: Only MUNICIPAL biodegradable waste: no sludge, no industrial waste The Landfill Directive targets MSW generation and BMW landfilling trend in the EU15
Under contract with the European Environment Agency Landfill Directive targets Are MS on the way to meet the LD targets? Ref. 2006 2009 2016
2. Amounts landfilled 2.2 Percentage of MSW to landfill
DATA CERTAINTY LANDFILLED WASTE COMPOSITION 1 WASTE AMOUNTS 2 % TO LANDFILL 3 CH4 RECOVERY OXIDATION IN THE LANDFILL (MCF, OX) 4 2015 1955 2005 2025 1965 1995 2035 1975 1985
DATA CERTAINTY LANDFILLED WASTE COMPOSITION 1 WASTE AMOUNTS 2 % TO LANDFILL 3 CH4 RECOVERY OXIDATION IN THE LANDFILL (MCF, OX) 4 2015 1955 2005 2025 1965 1995 2035 1975 1985
DATA CERTAINTY LANDFILLED WASTE COMPOSITION 1 WASTE AMOUNTS 2 % TO LANDFILL 3 CH4 RECOVERY OXIDATION IN THE LANDFILL (MCF, OX) 4 2015 1955 2005 2025 1965 1995 2035 1975 1985
Under contract with the European Environment Agency Interim results + …. + +
Under contract with the European Environment Agency Future work in the ETC/RWM • Refinement of the 4 key parameters • Extension of the projections to: • Other landfilled organic waste fractions • Industrial waste • Sewage sludge • Other waste treatment technologies (composting, incineration)