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Understanding Ageing Populations: Demographic Shifts and Future Consequences

This resource explores the implications of ageing populations, particularly in MEDCs experiencing low birth rates and ongoing demographic transitions. It discusses the post-war baby boom's impact, the dependency ratio, and the features of population pyramids. With projections for countries like Japan and various European nations, this study highlights predictions about societal collapses due to declining fertility rates. Additionally, it examines the importance of migration to sustain economies and addresses the social, economic, environmental, and political consequences of an ageing demographic.

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Understanding Ageing Populations: Demographic Shifts and Future Consequences

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  1. So what is a … WOOPies W O O P JOLLies J O L L Saga Louts

  2. WOOPies ell ff lder ersons W O O P JOLLies J O L L et-setting ldies with oads of oot Saga Louts

  3. Long Life Expectancy in MEDCs

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  5. Low Birth Rates in MEDCs

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  7. Post-war Baby Boom

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  9. Ageing Populations Lesson 1 L.O.’s To recap or define the terms: Ageing population, post war baby boom, DTM, dependency ratio. To describe the features of an ageing population pyramid To predict the consequences of ageing populations

  10. Remember this...? The Demographic Transition Model

  11. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/7472140.stm Japan’s ageing population

  12. Add the following labels to your Ageing population pyramid

  13. What about the UK? Have a look at this... And this...

  14. World map showing the % of over 60s in each country

  15. Fact or Opinion? • Europe's population is, right now, peaking, after more than six centuries of continuous growth. • With each generation reproducing only half its number, this looks like the start of a ­continent-wide collapse in numbers. Some predict wipeout by 2100. • Half a century ago, Europe was basking in a postwar baby boom, with 2.8 babies per woman in Britain, 2.9 in France, and 3.2 in the Netherlands. • Demographers assumed that fertility would settle down at about the level required to maintain the population – slightly more than two babies per woman. • According to the World bank Italy has a fertility rate of 1.34 births per woman, Germany 1.39, Poland 1.31 and the UK 1.9. • Europe is living on borrowed time. It already badly needs foreign hands to keep its societies and economies functioning • Demographer Peter McDonald calculates that if Italy gets stuck with recent fertility levels, and fails to top up with foreign migrants, it will lose 86% of its population by the end of the century, falling to 8 million compared with today's 56 million. Spain will lose 85%, Germany 83% and Greece 74%.

  16. The future? Is this just a Japanese and European Phenomenon? Play the video clip http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/feb/01/population-crash-fred-pearce

  17. Plenary: Predict the consequences of an ageing population Positive Negative Some categories to think about : Social, Economic, Environmental and Political

  18. For lesson 2Effects of an ageing population in the UK • http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4012797.stm Positive and Negative Social, Economic, Political

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