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Advanced Modeling Practices at CMAP: Strategies for Freight and Transit Modernization

This document outlines the advanced modeling practices implemented at the Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning (CMAP) as discussed by Kermit Wies in October 2014. It covers the historical background of trip-based modeling, the integration of freight analysis, economic development, and infrastructure strategies. The three-tiered freight analysis—macro, meso, and micro-levels—along with microsimulation and agent-based modeling techniques are highlighted. Additionally, the implementation strategies for activity-based models in highway pricing and transit modernization are addressed, showcasing practical applications and results validation using current data.

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Advanced Modeling Practices at CMAP: Strategies for Freight and Transit Modernization

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  1. Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP Kermit Wies October 2014

  2. Background and History

  3. Trip-Based Models

  4. Plan for Advanced Modeling at CMAP • Policy priorities • Data needs • Computing environment Freight Highway Pricing Transit Modernization

  5. Advanced Freight Model Development • GO TO 2040 Freight Chapter • National and Regional Policy • Economic development • Infrastructure • Three-tiered freight analysis • Macro = Economic choice • Meso = Supply chain and logistics • Micro = Network operations • Implementation strategy • Microsimulation • Agent-based

  6. Progress-to-date • Two rounds of mesoscale development • Microsimulates commodity flows and predicts distribution channels to, from and through the CMAP region. Also assembles local truck tours. • Implemented at CMAP for scenario and project tests cmap.illinois.gov/catmug

  7. Two rounds of development • UIC Developed original FAME model at national level • Designed the model and prepared the original code in SAS • Extended the design and rewrote the code in R

  8. Mesoscale Model: step by step cmap.illinois.gov/catmug

  9. CMAP Implementation • Testing model execution • Understanding new concepts • Linking to standard procedures • Results Validation

  10. Data Resources • Basic demonstration uses currently available data: • Freight Analysis Framework • County Business Patterns • Make-Use Tables • Regional Model Data • National Freight Networks • Parameter estimation: • heuristic • empirical

  11. Recent Applications • Tour Length • Tonnage Comparison • Circle Interchange

  12. Forecasting • Agent-based Economic Extension • External infrastructure decisions, economic change, policy actions • Combined effect of independent procurement and logistics business decisions

  13. Activity-Based Models • Application of an Activity-Based Model for Highway Pricing Studies in Chicago • Transit Beyond Travel Time and Cost • Network Microsimulation Extension to Activity-Based Travel Model

  14. Highway Pricing Model http://www.cmap.illinois.gov/mobility/roads/congestion-pricing

  15. Transit Modernization Model

  16. Bike Model

  17. ABM/DTA Integration

  18. Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP Kermit Wies October 2014

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