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Source and Destination: Transfer Success at a Multi-campus University System AIR 2004 Forum

Source and Destination: Transfer Success at a Multi-campus University System AIR 2004 Forum The Information Revolution: Bridging the Past to the Future May 31, 2004 – 4:10 PM Salon K, Boston Marriott Copley Place Boston, Massachusetts.

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Source and Destination: Transfer Success at a Multi-campus University System AIR 2004 Forum

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  1. Source and Destination: Transfer Success at a Multi-campus University System AIR 2004 Forum The Information Revolution: Bridging the Past to the Future May 31, 2004 – 4:10 PM Salon K, Boston Marriott Copley Place Boston, Massachusetts Kathy Schmidtke, Graduate Student, Institutional Research & Planning Mardy Eimers, Director of Institutional Research & Planning

  2. Importance of Transfers • Approximately 42% of all new students are transfer students. • At the urban institutions, transfer students represent 64% and 78% of all new students. • Transfers are a significant part of enrollment management efforts. • Admission requirements for transfer students differ from those of first-time entering students.

  3. University of Missouri System • Large residential campus • Engineering residential campus • Two urban campuses • Total 46,000 undergraduates

  4. Literature Review • Transfer Shock (Hill, 1965) • Transfer and “Native” Students (Arnold, 2001; Glass & Harrington, 2002; Koker & Hendel, 2003; and Saupe & Long, 1996) • Transfer in the Urban setting (Bach, Banks, Kinnick, Ricks, Stoering, & Walleri, 1999) • Role of Associate’s Degree (Saupe & Long, 1996; Townsend & Barnes, 2001)

  5. Source of Transfer Percent of UM Transfer Students

  6. Destination of Transfer Percent of UM Transfer Students

  7. Transfer Student Population • 10% Underrepresented minorities • 12% Had an A.A. Or A.S. Degree • Mean Transfer GPA – 2.9 • Mean Transfer Hours – 58 • Graduation Data: • Six-year Graduation Rate – 53% • Mean Years to Graduation – 2.9 • Of those graduating, 64% graduated within 3 yrs.

  8. Original Study - Transfer v. Native (Lehmkuhle, Eimers, and Mullen, 2003) • Transfer • 24 hours • 2.0 GPA Transfer Hours Transfer GPA UM System Native Third semester 6-year Graduation Rate 1991 – 1997 Fall Cohorts

  9. Graduation Rates – Native v. Transfer Graduation Rate Fall 1996 FT/FT DS Freshmen 6-year Grad. Rate 59%

  10. Original Study - Research Questions • Are transfer students more likely to graduate than native students, when controlling for ability and credit hours? • What characteristics help explain a transfer student’s likelihood of graduating?

  11. Original Study Findings • Transfer GPA and Transfer Hours - strong positive indicators of a student’s likelihood to graduate • Additionally, being an internal UM transfer and/or being female – positive indicators • Negative indicators - having a post-secondary degree, transferring to an urban institution, and/or being an underrepresented minority.

  12. New Study – Phase I SOURCE - MO DESTINATION 2-year Transfer Hours Transfer GPA 4-year UM System UM System 6-year Graduation Rate

  13. Research Questions – Phase I • Are transfer students more likely to graduate if they enter from a 2-year, 4-year, or UM System institution, when controlling for ability and credit hours? • 4. What characteristics help explain a transfer student’s likelihood of graduating, based on whether they transfer from a 2-year, 4-year, or UM System institution?

  14. Graduation Rates by Source Institution Graduation Rate UM Transfer Students

  15. Student GPA Less Than 2.50 Student GPA 3.5 or more % Graduating % Graduating Credit Hours Credit Hours

  16. Credit Hours: 24-35 Credit Hours: Over 60 % Graduating % Graduating GPA GPA

  17. Logistic Regression Independent Variables POINT ESTIMATE = 1 As Likely to Graduate as “Control” Control Male Other Ethnicity Female Asian or Minority (African American, Hispanic, Native American) 2 year or UM Associate’s of Arts, Associate’s of Science or Other Associates (2-year only) Residential GPA Category 2.5-2.9 3.0-3.49 3.5-4.0 Transfer Hour Category 36-47 48-59 60+ Age 4 year No Assoc. Deg Urban Dependent Variable Graduate Don’t Graduate 2.0-2.49 24-35

  18. Logistic Regression Findings – 4-year

  19. Logistic Regression Findings – 2-year

  20. Logistic Regression Findings – UM

  21. New Study – Phase II SOURCE - MO DESTINATION Urban Missouri Institutions Transfer Hours Transfer GPA UM System Residential 6-year Graduation Rate

  22. Research Questions – Phase II • Are transfer students more likely to graduate if they transfer to an urban or residential campus, when controlling for ability and credit hours? • What characteristics help explain a transfer student’s likelihood of graduating, based on whether the student transferred to an urban or residential campus?

  23. Graduation Rates of MO Transfer Students by Destination Institution Graduation Rate 48% 59% All UM Transfers 52%

  24. Student GPA Less Than 2.50 Student GPA 3.5 or more % Graduating % Graduating Credit Hours Credit Hours

  25. Credit Hours: 24-35 Credit Hours: Over 60 % Graduating % Graduating GPA GPA

  26. Logistic Regression Findings – Urban

  27. Logistic Regression Findings – Residential

  28. Graduation Rates by Type of Associate’s Graduation Rate N = 2,361 N = 176 N = 6,180 N = 527 2-year Transfer Students Graduation Rate for all 2-yr 52%

  29. Exploratory Phase SOURCE - MO DESTINATION 2-year Urban Transfer Hours Transfer GPA UM System 4-year Residential UM System 6-year Graduation Rate

  30. Graduation Rates by Destination Institution Graduation Rate 61% 31% 43% 48%

  31. Logistic Regression Findings – 4-year to urban

  32. Logistic Regression Findings –2-year to Urban

  33. Graduation Rates by Type of Associate’s Graduation Rate N = 1,865 N = 135 N = 468 N = 3,688 2-year Transfer Students to an Urban Graduation Rate for all 2-yr Urban 50%

  34. Logistic Regression - 4-year to Residential

  35. Logistic Regression – 2-year to Residential

  36. Graduation Rates by Type of Associate’s Graduation Rate N = 496 N = 41 N = 59 N = 2,492 2-year Transfer Students to a Residential Graduation Rate of all 2-yr Residential 56%

  37. Limitations • University of Missouri data • Native student attrition • Strength of logistic model • Cell Size after aggregations

  38. Findings • Regardless of whether a student enters from a 2-year or 4-year institution, Transfer GPA and Transfer Hours continue to be strong positive indicators of graduation. • When controlling for GPA and hours, 4-year transfers graduate at a higher rate than 2-year transfers. • When controlling for GPA and hours, students who transfer to a residential institution graduate at a higher rate than students who transfer to an urban institution. • In an urban institution, 2-year transfers are more successful than 4-year transfers, while in a residential institution, 4-year transfers are more successful. • For 2-year transfers, obtaining the Associate’s of Arts degree is a positive indicator of graduation at an urban institution.

  39. Discussion & Future Research Focus • Transfer assimilation and articulation (AA, 42-hr) • Transfer admission standards • Difference in success of 2-year and 4-year students transferring to urban and residential campuses. • Shared responsibility of all institutions and disciplines • Ideas or modifications for future studies

  40. Additional Information • Kathy Schmidtke: schmidtkek@missouri.edu • Office of Institutional Research & Planning • 712 Lewis Hall • University of Missouri System • University of Missouri-Columbia • Columbia, Missouri 65211 • (573) 884-2241 • Mardy Eimers: eimersm@umsystem.edu • Office of Institutional Research & Planning • 721 Lewis Hall • University of Missouri System • University of Missouri-Columbia • Columbia, Missouri 65211 • (573) 882-2778

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