1 / 9

WG4

WG4. Anastasia Bundel. COSMO SMC meeting, February 05, 2019, DWD, Offenbach-am-Main. Collection of cases of model failures.

robinsonfrank
Télécharger la présentation

WG4

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. WG4 Anastasia Bundel COSMO SMC meeting, February 05, 2019, DWD, Offenbach-am-Main

  2. Collection of cases of model failures • STC requested "to perform a collection of cases of model failures relevant for the different COSMO countries according to the forecasters, through the contact points belonging to WG4, 2-4 cases by each country". It was mentioned at the last SMC meeting that the most interesting and important cases of this kind are those where the high-resolution model fails to predict the processes it's best suited for, e.g., convection development • A request was sent to WG4 to begin to make a collection of such cases with a short description of each case • During the next summer, we will continue to gather this collection and prepare an overview by the COSMO GM 2019, hopefully with some explanations of model failures

  3. Final report on PP CORSO-A is ready.After format transfer, it will be on site

  4. New PT plan is not prepared yet:Guidelines for users of LAM forecasts. • Forecast production chain: Sequences of maps, meteograms, other products • Improving the link between verificators and forecast users, explaining state-of-the-art verification techniques, how to read spatial verification results • EPS applications. How to use EPS products. The PT leader: Inna Rozinkina (RHM), possibly with Dimitra Boucouvala (HNMS) But this PT is still actual. Hopefully, the PT plan will be ready by the Summer SMC meeting

  5. Using COSMO-Ru forecasts at Russian regional Roshydromet agencies • Russia has a large territory with different geographical conditions • There are 87 regional agencies of Roshydromet in Russia • Most of them traditionally use a GIS software, which enables plotting the forecasts (international and Russian models) available through the Global Telecommunication System (GTS). The fields in GTS are in coarse resolution. We cannot yet transmit COSMO forecasts with original resolution through the GTS • At present, forecasters use COSMO forecasts mainly as maps and meteograms sent via e-mail and on the site of the Russian Hydrometcentre, but they would like to be able to plot them • Forecasters are more used to global forecasts. So, for us it’s very important to teach them how to use LAM forecasts

  6. COSMO-Ru system on ICE-X computer • 13 km • 6.6 km • 2.2 km • 1.1 km More than 8000 maps and 2500 meteograms sent daily

  7. COSMO-Rusystem on new CrayXC40-LC • 6.6 km • 2.2 km • 1.1 km

  8. Draft of the new PP AWARE: Appraisal of "Challenging WeAther" FoREcasts • Joint with WG5 with participation of WG7 • Linked closely with the WMO HIW project and the EUMETNET SRNWP EPS project • The goal of the PP is to provide COSMO Community with an overview of forecast methods and forecast evaluation approaches that related to high impact weather (not necessarily considered extreme to all users). • The PP AWARE will be presented in a special talk

  9. WG4 membership • Marcus Paulat (Germany) • Daniel Cattani (Switzerland) • Alessio Canessa (Italy) • Andrzej Mazur (Poland) • Dimitra Boucouvala (Greece) • Amalia Iriza (Romania) • Anastasia Bundel (Russia) • Amit Savir and Evgeny Brainin (Israel) As before: most active in the new group: MCH, IMGW-PIB, HNMS, RHM; lack of commitment from some members

More Related