1 / 17

FAO/WFP Crop and Food Security Assessment

FAO/WFP Crop and Food Security Assessment. Republic of Moldova August 2007. Average monthly air temperature ( °C ) in 1946 and 2007 Source: State Hydrometeorological Service. Precipitation quantity (mm) in 1946 and 2007 Source: State Hydrometeorological Service.

rosie
Télécharger la présentation

FAO/WFP Crop and Food Security Assessment

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. FAO/WFP Crop and Food Security Assessment Republic of Moldova August 2007

  2. Average monthly air temperature (°C) in 1946 and 2007Source: State Hydrometeorological Service FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  3. Precipitation quantity (mm) in 1946 and 2007Source: State Hydrometeorological Service FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  4. NDVI - June 2nd Dekad – Romania Source: GIEWS Workstation FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  5. NDVI – June 2nd Dekad, UkraineSource: GIEWS Workstation FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  6. NDVI - June 2nd Dekad, MoldovaSource: GIEWS Workstation FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  7. Growing Conditions • Sept ’06 – July 07 rainfall 50-75% of normal overall • In some southern and central areas, only 25% of normal rainfall • Peak temperatures 3-4 degrees> normal • Soil moisture 1/3 of normal • Comes after the 2003 drought, and dry weather in the south during 2005/06 FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  8. Impact on Agricultural Production FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  9. Impact on Agriculture – Livestock(lack of pasture, feed, low incomes) • Opportunity cost of lost production, at market prices, nearly 300 mln euros for cereal crops only • De-stocking of 1/3 to ½ of household cattle holdings depending on area • Loss to the livestock sector, esp cattle: NPV value of flow of benefits (milk, offspring, growing out weight) likely larger than for crops FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  10. Impact on Rural Households • Lower or no returns to land • Much less food from home garden production • Loss of savings, food and income from liquidated family livestock • Increased food expenditures, at higher nominal prices • Higher prices for other basic requirements (energy, gas, heating, etc.) • Reduction in foreign market share and income for wine and spirits FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  11. Trade and Food Balance Position • Percent coverage of imports by exports: from 56.3% in 2003 to 39% in 2006 • Deficit can be made up from commercial imports • Main problem: access by poor households with less of their own production (land, home gardens, livestock), facing either prices FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  12. Financial losses/Indebtedness • Financial sector: highly capitalized, lends little to the ag sector, can finance the next season • Very small farms: borrow very little • Small associations NFFM, own funds, relatives, • Larger associations, LLCs will have to reimburse partially and reschedule debt to banks, S&Ls, Input suppliers • Producers have borne most of the risk of exposure to disaster FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  13. Short-term (Emergency) Measures • Heavily producer-subsidized inputs for Winter crops (October planting), including forage crops • Livestock feed/concentrate to avoid further destocking • Tax relief: land, rural economic activities, import duties • Expanded social protection programs (allowances, school meals, use of school canteens for the vulnerable) • Cash-for-public works • Fortification of domestic/imported wheat against iron deficiency FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  14. Medium-term Measures • Reconstitution of household livestock assets (diversification, e.g. rabbits) • Plant genetic material: choice, selection, multiplication, risk-mitigation (e.g. red sorghum for livestock feed) • Proper emphasis on diversification, adaptation, and extension to home garden food production • Improved access to water resources for home gardens, including appropriate low-cost pumps, other technologies • Better use of water resources for home garden food production, including rainwater harvesting • Use of information for food security monitoring, early warning FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  15. Long-term Measures (start now!) • Components of a sustainable ag sector strategy: crop mix, varietal selection, protection of the resource base, efficient use of water resources • Financial sector reform - integrated with: • Agricultural insurance sector reform FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  16. Balti Odessa Reni MOLDOVA – Logistics Options UKRAINE • Entry points • Ports • Rail & Road options • Storage • Roads • Milling • Implementing partner UKRAINE Chisinau ROMANIA Cahul UKRAINE FAO/WFP CFSAM - August 2007

  17. Thank you! Questions and comments welcome

More Related