Improve Your Soccer Betting Utilizing The Footyforecast Approach

1. Improve Your Soccer Betting is a series of short articles that describe some popular and well utilized statistical techniques that will help the soccer punter make more informed bets. Each of the strategies has its own advantages and disadvantages and using them in isolation will improve your chances of winning. Nevertheless, together they will prove indispensable in your battle with the bookmakers. In each article we will describe in detail how a particular approach works giving you sufficient info for you to go ahead and develop your own projections. We will also give you info regarding where you can already find websites that use this strategy in comprising their weekly soccer betting forecasts. The analytical methods explained in this set of articles must assist you to arrive at a better choice about the match, or matches, that you are betting on. In this article we will be describing the Footyforecast technique. The Footyforecast approach was initially established for the English Football Swimming pools and attempts to eliminate those matches that will not be draws, leaving you with a shorter list of matches from which to choose your 8 from 11. This method was introduced to the world in 1999 on the original Footyforecast site (now 1X2Monster. com). This approach resembles the Basic Sequence approach which is described in another of our short articles in this series. Here are the fundamental guidelines ... For each group work out the following, 1. Work out the overall variety of points gotten for the last N games 2. Work out the maximum number of possible points for the last N video games 3. Divide the overall variety of points gotten by the maximum available and increase by 100. 4. Determine the projection worth. In (1) and (2) above N video games could be all the home games for the house side and all the away games for the away side. Alternatively N could be the last N games consisting of all home and away games for a team. The projection worth is calculated like this ... HOMEPOINTS = variety of points for home group from last N games. AWAYPOINTS = variety of points for away team from last N games. HOMEVAL = (HOMEPOINTS/ (POINTSFORWIN * N)) * 100. AWAYVAL = (AWAYPOINTS/ (POINTSFORWIN * N)) * 100. PROJECTION = (HOMEVAL + (100 - AWAYVAL))/ 2. To calculate the possible result of a match based on the Footyforecast method the value is compared with the following ... 1. A forecast worth of 50 = a draw. 2. A worth in between 50 and 100 gives an increasing chance of a home win the closer to 100.

2. 3. A worth in between 50 and 0 provides an increasing chance of an away win the closer to 0. There are a couple of variables to consider, for example the variety of matches to utilize and whether to use all matches or just home for home side and just away for away side to name however 2. You might want to explore these worths. By outlining real resulting draws versus the forecast it is possible to produce two threshold values, one for away wins and one for home wins, any values in-between these thresholds are most likely draws. All matches outside these limits will be less most likely to be draws. For example a worth of 40 or less for away wins and a value of 60 or more for home wins. This would suggest any matches falling between 41 and 59 might be draws. What this approach does, with careful tuning by the user is to remove lots of matches which will not be draws offering you a list to choose from. This approach is best utilized where an English Pools Plan is to be used. Here is a worked example ... The values shown are the points gotten by the group for each video game in a series of 4 recent matches, you of course might select more video games to base your computations on. West Ham. H4 = 3 (earliest match). H3 = 1. H2 = 1. H1 = 0 (newest match). Leeds Utd. A4 = 1 (earliest match). A3 = 3. A2 = 0. A1 = 3 (latest match). Utilizing only house games for home side and just away games for away side ...

3. FFPHome = (( 3 + 1 + 1 + 0)/ 12) * 100 = 42. FFPAway = (( 1 + 3 + 0 + 3)/ 12) * 100 = 59. FFPForcast = (42 + (100 - 59))/ 2 = 42. If our threshold values are 40 and 60 then for this match the forecast depends on the expected draw area and at the lower end significance that if it is not a draw the most likely other outcome would be an away win. This may be interpreted as an X2 prediction, i.e. draw or away win, which some bookies will accept as a bet. Now it's your turn ... Of course you may pick to utilize various values to those shown above and by experimenting you may develop better worths to use. You may also choose to use all house and away games played by each group in your computations instead of just house games for the home team and away games for the away group. You may select to have various thresholds than those revealed above. You may also find it beneficial to plot actual outcomes against the Footyforecast method predictions to see the number website of real draws fall in the away win, draw, and home win prediction zones. If you have the needed skills you might go away and build your own spreadsheet of information and even write a piece of software application to take in outcomes and components and apply the Footyforecast technique to your data. Or, if you're lazy like me, you could grab some complimentary software that already does this for you. 1X2Monster and Footyforecast have actually been supplying this sort of center given that 1999. An overall of 7 different analytical techniques are utilized to figure out the outcome of each game played in each league, and a detailed record of how each approach in each video game carried out is kept. Apart from how each suggestion performed within its particular league 1X2Monster likewise offers the league tables of how each league has performed in successfully forecasting outcomes of games. The league tables of prediction efficiency are produced for home win forecasts, draw forecasts, away win forecasts, and for total forecasts and are invaluable tools to the soccer punter when deciding where to target their European soccer betting forecasts. Here is a list of all the articles in this series ... How To Earn a profit From FREE 1X2 Soccer Picks. Improve Your Soccer Betting Utilizing The Rateform Method. Improve Your Soccer Betting Using The Footyforecast Approach. Improve Your Soccer Betting Using The Win Draw Loss Technique. Improve Your Soccer Betting Utilizing The Basic Series Technique. Enhance Your Soccer Betting Utilizing Ball Game Prediction Method. Improve Your Soccer Betting Using The Supremacy Technique.