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An Assessment of the CFS real-time forecasts for 2005-2009

An Assessment of the CFS real-time forecasts for 2005-2009. Wanqiu Wang, Mingyue Chen, and Arun Kumar CPC/NCEP/NOAA. Summary. CFS continues producing delayed transition between ENSO phases; PDF correction improves the forecasts, especially for those initialized after Apr 2009 (slides 6/7/8)

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259 views • 25 slides

An Assessment of the CFS real-time forecasts for 2005-2008

An Assessment of the CFS real-time forecasts for 2005-2008. Wanqiu Wang, Mingyue Chen, and Arun Kumar CPC/NCEP/NOAA. Outline. CFS forecast skill and comparison with hindcast Comparison with potential predictability based on AMIP simulations Systematic errors in the forecast - Cold summers

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301 views • 19 slides

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Cfs forecast - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

An Assessment of the CFS real-time forecasts for 2005-2009

An Assessment of the CFS real-time forecasts for 2005-2008