'Ensemble prediction' diaporamas de présentation

Simulation of initial uncertainties using singular vectors (SVs) and an ensemble of analyses (EDA)

Simulation of initial uncertainties using singular vectors (SVs) and an ensemble of analyses (EDA) (EC/TC/PR/RB-L3). Roberto Buizza European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (http://www.ecmwf.int/staff/roberto_buizza/). Outline. The old SV-based ECMWF EPS

975 views • 83 slides

The ROMS TL and ADJ Models: Tools for Generalized Stability Analysis and Data Assimilation

The ROMS TL and ADJ Models: Tools for Generalized Stability Analysis and Data Assimilation. Hernan Arango, Rutgers U Emanuele Di Lorenzo, GIT Arthur Miller, Bruce Cornuelle, Doug Neilson UCSD, Andrew Moore, CU. Major Objective.

620 views • 49 slides

Probabilistic Prediction

Probabilistic Prediction. Uncertainty in Forecasting. All of the model forecasts I have talked about reflect a deterministic approach.

548 views • 45 slides

Water, Weather and Climate in Our Future: What Can We Know?

601 views • 45 slides

Probabilistic Prediction

Probabilistic Prediction. Uncertainty in Forecasting. All of the model forecasts I have talked about reflect a deterministic approach.

507 views • 39 slides

Mesoscale Atmospheric Predictability

543 views • 39 slides

Introduction to Weather Forecasting

Introduction to Weather Forecasting Cliff Mass Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Washington The Stone Age Prior to approximately 1955, weather forecasting was basically a subjective art, and not very skillful.

1.83k views • 37 slides

Operational and research activities at ECMWF now and in the future

434 views • 34 slides

NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION Atmospheric predictability: Ensembles

NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION Atmospheric predictability: Ensembles. Dr Meral Demirta ? Turkish State Meteorological Service Weather Forecasting Department. WMO, Training Course, 26-30 September 2011 Alanya, Turkey. Outline. Introduction How predictable is the atmosphere?

705 views • 31 slides

(TIGGE and) the EU Funded BRIDGE project

(TIGGE and) the EU Funded BRIDGE project. Baudouin Raoult Head of Data and Services Section ECMWF. THORPEX was established in May 2003 by the 14th WMO Congress as a ten-year international global atmospheric research and development programme

305 views • 21 slides

THORPEX Alan Dickinson Chair THORPEX ICSC and David Burridge THORPEX IPO

THORPEX Alan Dickinson Chair THORPEX ICSC and David Burridge THORPEX IPO. THORPEX Priorities. Global-to-regional influences on the evolution and predictability of weather systems Global observing-system design and demonstration Targeting and assimilation of observations

474 views • 20 slides

Synthesis of S&TI Issues from CTB-COLA Joint Seminar Summaries

291 views • 20 slides

WIPP Far-Field Hydrology

WIPP Far-Field Hydrology. Kristopher L. Kuhlman 4 th US/German Workshop on Salt Repository Research, Design and Operations Berlin, Germany September 2013.

329 views • 18 slides

Munehiko Yamaguchi Typhoon Research Department,

402 views • 15 slides

TIGGE (The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble)

TIGGE (The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble). Roberto Buizza 1 , Philippe Bougeault 1 , Renate Hagedorn 1 and David Richardson 2 1 : European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts 2 : The UK Met Office. THORPEX.

237 views • 13 slides

THORPEX

THORPEX. History.

280 views • 12 slides

183 views • 5 slides

L.C. for short range EPS

L.C. for short range EPS. - UGM (Italy), LC for short range EPS, has hosted the 2 nd WS on Short Range EPS (Bologna, 7-8 April) in collaboration with ARPA-SIM - Over 70 participants from Europe, USA and Canada. EWGLAM - SRNWP, Ljubljana 3-5 October 2005. L.C. for short range EPS.

171 views • 3 slides

Using the GFS Ensemble Mean to Generate Medium-range Precipitation Ensemble Forecasts for Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction

Using the GFS Ensemble Mean to Generate Medium-range Precipitation Ensemble Forecasts for Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction. Limin Wu 1,2 , Julie Demargne 1,3 , John Schaake 1,4 , James D. Brown 1,3 , and Rob Hartman 5 1 NOAA/NWS, Office of Hydrologic Development, USA

20 views • 1 slides

72 views • 1 slides