Forecast probabilities - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Utility of Ensemble Techniques: 7-day forecast example

Utility of Ensemble Techniques: 7-day forecast example. Two Case Studies. Press release of expected first summer rains around 7 October 2003 7/8-day forecast Lessons Heavy rain over NW province and Gauteng 19 October 2003 Predictability of cut-off low event Pin-pointing area of heavy rain.

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452 views • 42 slides

The “User Metric” Concept cfab.eas.gatech/usermetric.html

The “User Metric” Concept http://cfab.eas.gatech.edu/usermetric.html. Contents. 1. Introduction. 2. Concept. 3. Problem. 4. Providers. Concept. User metric concept Combining probabilistic forecasts with knowledge from the user community to provide a metric for optimal choice. Problem.

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400 views • 34 slides

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