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Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology?

NOAA Earth System Research Lab. Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology?. Tom Hamill NOAA Earth System Research Lab, Boulder, Colorado tom.hamill@noaa.gov ; www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/tom.hamill/wx.html. Hypothesis.

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Island 2 forecast - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology?