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Market Scoring Rules

Market Scoring Rules. conitzer@cs.duke.edu. Multiple forecasters. What if we have more than one forecaster? One idea: use a proper scoring rule for everyone separately, then aggregate Median? Mean? Geometric mean?. A story. A coin may be biased (P(H|B) = .75) or unbiased (P( H|not B)=.5)

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Market Scoring Rules