'Prediction skill' diaporamas de présentation

ENSO Prediction Skill in the NCEP CFS

CTB Joint Seminar Series. ENSO Prediction Skill in the NCEP CFS. Renguang Wu Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies. February 3, 2010, NCEP. Coauthors: Ben P. Kirtman (RSMAS, University of Miami) Huug van den Dool (CPC, NCEP, NOAA). 1. Spring prediction barrier.

578 views • 44 slides

31 st CDPW Boulder Colorado, Oct 23-27, 2006

468 views • 39 slides

C. Stan, D. Min, K. Pegion

C. Stan, D. Min, K. Pegion. ENSO Prediction and Predictability. Two Views of ENSO Predictability Linear Damped Stochastically Forced Non-Linear Chaotic System Practical Predictability CGCM Estimates of Prediction Skill Probabilistic vs. Deterministic

537 views • 35 slides

Predictability & Prediction of Seasonal Climate over North America

Predictability & Prediction of Seasonal Climate over North America. Lisa Goddard , Simon Mason, Ben Kirtman, Kelly Redmond, Randy Koster, Wayne Higgins, Marty Hoerling, Alex Hall, Jerry Meehl, Tom Delworth, Nate Mantua, Gavin Schmidt (US CLIVAR PPAI Panel). Potential predictability.

521 views • 35 slides

Forecasting Monthly Tropical Cyclone Activities

Forecasting Monthly Tropical Cyclone Activities. Lee Sai Ming Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China ESCAP/WMO Integrated Workshop on Urban Flood Risk Management in a Changing Climate: Sustainable and Adaptation Challenges 6 Sep 2010, Macao, China. The need for long-range TC forecast.

422 views • 32 slides

Huug van den Dool and Suranjana Saha Prediction Skill and Predictability in CFS

325 views • 32 slides

JCS Input to OHD Response to Core Project Review

JCS Input to OHD Response to Core Project Review. Response Topics. Hydrologic Application of Intra-Seasonal Atmospheric Forecasts Shows need for seamless weather/climate forecast systems Land surface memory increases forecast lead time Removal of Bias from Hydrologic Forecast Products

355 views • 26 slides

Bin Wang and June-Yi Lee

Predictability of Seasonal Precipitation over Global Tropics in Coupled Climate Models. Bin Wang and June-Yi Lee. IPRC, University of Hawaii, USA. In-Sik Kang, Seoul National University, Korea J. Shukla, George Mason University, USA C.-K. Park and Saji Hameed, APCC, Korea.

320 views • 20 slides

Bin Wang and June-Yi Lee

Predictability of Seasonal Precipitation over Global Tropics in Coupled Climate Models. Bin Wang and June-Yi Lee. IPRC, University of Hawaii, USA. In-Sik Kang, Seoul National University, Korea J. Shukla, George Mason University, USA C.-K. Park and Saji Hameed, APCC, Korea.

203 views • 20 slides

Predictability of Tropical Intrasesonal Variability (ISV) in the ISV Hindcast Experiment (ISVHE)

Predictability of Tropical Intrasesonal Variability (ISV) in the ISV Hindcast Experiment (ISVHE). Duane Waliser 1,2. 1 Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Sci. & Engineering / UCLA, USA 2 Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, USA

255 views • 17 slides

Research on High Impact Weather

Research on High Impact Weather. Deon Terblanche EAG-FRT I December 2011 Geneva, Switzerland. Improvement in prediction skill at ECMWF. Improving Weather PREDICTION. UNDERSTANDING Atmospheric Processes. Developing APPLICATIONS for Society. WWRP engages in :. Research Activities.

254 views • 16 slides

World Climate Research Programme 2006, 2007 and beyond

201 views • 11 slides

PPAI Concluding Report

U. U. G. G. O. O. R. R. H. H. D. D. T. T. Decadal Variability. Climate Change. ENSO. Extreme Events. MJO. Nowcasting. PPAI Concluding Report. Proposed focus: DROUGHT. PPAI Concluding Report. Proposed focus: DROUGHT

105 views • 10 slides